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Fantasy Football Week 12: 5 WR/CB matchups to target and 5 to avoid

Glendale, Arizona, USA; Arizona Cardinals wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins (10) against the Green Bay Packers at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Estimated reading time: 13 minutes

Welcome to Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season. The sections below highlight five targets and avoids with data gleaned from PFF’s WR/CB matchup chart.

5 WR/CB MATCHUPS TO TARGET

WR Christian Kirk, Jacksonville Jaguars vs. CB Damarion Williams, Baltimore Ravens

  • Jacksonville-Baltimore has a moderate 43.5-point over/under.
  • Jacksonville’s offensive line earned a 28.0% PFF matchup advantage rating in PFF’s OL/DL matchup chart, tied for third best on the Week 12 slate.
  • Kirk (76.5 PFF receiving grade) has taken 66.24% of his offensive snaps and 77.1% of his receiving snaps lined up in the slot, mixing moderate consistency with explosive, run-after-catch gains.
  • The table below ranks Kirk’s slot-receiving data among 53 NFL wide receivers with at least 100 slot-receiving snaps (“No. 1” denotes the position’s best performance)
NFL Slot Receiver Data PFF Slot-Receiving Grade Per Routes Run %: Targets – Yards Catch % – Contested Catch % Yards After Catch per Rec. Explosive Pass Plays of 15+ Yards
Christian Kirk 74.4 (No. 13) 19.7% (No. 19) – 1.69 (No. 19) 64.3% (No. 43) – 14.3% (No. 39) 4.9 (No. 23) 9 (T-No. 4)
  • Baltimore started Williams (40.0 PFF coverage grade) at slot cornerback for much of the year but later replaced him with first-round rookie safety Kyle Hamilton (88.6 PFF slot-coverage grade). Williams is likely to start with Hamilton (knee) now unable to practice though.
  • Williams logged a 61.7% slot cornerback rate during his time as the team’s majority starter in Weeks 1-8.
  • Veteran cornerback Marlon Humphrey (80.8 PFF coverage grade) consistently operated as a backup slot cornerback in Weeks 8-11, logging a 35.5% slot rate.
  • The table below ranks Williams’ and Humphrey’s slot coverage data among 38 NFL cornerbacks with at least 90 slot coverage snaps.
NFL Slot CB Data PFF Slot-Coverage Grade Catch % – Yards Allowed per Cov. Snap Forced Incompletion % Explosive Pass Plays Allowed % Open Target %
Damarion Williams 41.9 (No. 38) 70.0% (No. 21) – 1.98 (No. 33) 3.6% (No. 25) 6.1% (No. 36) 50.0% (T-No. 7)
Marlon Humphrey 78.4 (No. 4) 72.7% (T-No. 16) – 0.82 (No. 7) 0.0% (T-No. 30) 1.1% (No. 4) 45.5% (T-No. 5)

WR Garrett Wilson, New York Jets vs. CB Kindle Vildor, Chicago Bears

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