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Finding 2022’s Fantasy Football Breakout Running Back: D'Andre Swift, Detroit Lions

Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Lions running back D'Andre Swift (32) (left) tries to avoid Atlanta Falcons linebacker Rahsaan Evans (54) in the first quarter at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit LionsD’Andre Swift has rookie and second-year stats that compare favorably to former Dallas Cowboys RB DeMarco Murray and Philadelphia Eagles RB LeSean McCoy.

Swift was targeted on roughly 25% of his routes run in both NFL seasons, putting him in elite company.

Swift’s current ADP at RB7 in PPR formats makes him a slight fade according to the PFF consensus fantasy rankings, as Jamaal Williams is likely to cut into his workload.

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It might be considered cheating to have Swift, a running back who finished the 2021 season as RB15, as part of a breakout series. However, his ADP is predicting another step forward, and his most comparable players show that’s well within his range of outcomes.

Five of Swift’s 10 most similar players finished in the top 12 in their second seasons. Plus, DeMarco Murray’s RB6 and Alvin Kamara’s RB11 seasons understate their impact as both missed two games in their third seasons. Nonetheless, it isn’t a guarantee that Swift will finish in the top 10 this year. Christian McCaffrey and Kamara took bigger leaps in production during their second seasons, and three of Swift’s comps didn’t finish within the top-40 running backs.


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