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DFS Data Dive: Hunting Week 2's best stacks

Estimated reading time: 9 minutes

This DFS main-slate stacks analysis is a variation of the methodology used in the single-game DraftKings showdown slates analyses. It uses the combination of current projections, historical game results and similarity algorithms to simulate an upcoming game by looking back at the most similar historical matchups. In this analysis, I’m taking the same outline and applying it instead to the DFS main slate by projecting the likelihood each team’s QB-WR, RB-DST, QB-WR-TE, QB-RB-WR stacks will be the highest scoring of the slate. These are some of the most popular stack combinations employed in DFS strategy.

The numbers below are harnessing the unexpected connections and reactions between players that have actually happened over the past several years and thereby point to under/overvalued stacks that won’t be identified through traditional projections and logical deduction.

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QUARTERBACK/WIDE RECEIVER STACK

QB/WR players
Team Opponent Highest % Player Pos DK Fpts DK Salary FD Fpts FD Salary
LV ARZ 9.3 Derek Carr QB 20.9 6,200 19.2 7,300
LV ARZ 9.3 Davante Adams WR 19.8 8,600 15.4 8,800
BLT MIA 8.1 Lamar Jackson QB 22.3 7,400 20.9 8,200
BLT MIA 8.1 Rashod Bateman WR 11.1 5,500 8.8 6,400
IND JAX 6.7 Matt Ryan QB 18.4 5,500 17.2 6,800
IND JAX 6.7 Michael Pittman Jr. WR 14.7 6,700 11.6 7,800
SF SEA 6.2 Trey Lance QB 23.3 5,700 22.0 7,500
SF SEA 6.2 Deebo Samuel WR 19.1 7,800 16.3 8,000
DEN HST 6.1 Russell Wilson QB 20.5 7,200 19.4 7,500
DEN HST 6.1 Courtland Sutton WR 12.1 6,100 9.9 6,800
LA ATL 6.0 Matthew Stafford QB 23.7 6,300 22.2 7,600
LA ATL 6.0 Cooper Kupp WR 24.4 9,900 19.2 9,700
ATL LA 5.4 Marcus Mariota QB 18.1 5,600 16.8 7,300
ATL LA 5.4 Drake London WR 11.5 5,200 8.9 5,600
ARZ LV 4.8 Kyler Murray QB 21.5 7,500 20.3 8,500
ARZ LV 4.8 Marquise Brown WR 13.8 6,200 10.9 7,400
NYJ CLV 4.7 Joe Flacco QB 14.4 5,100 13.5 6,400
NYJ CLV 4.7 Elijah Moore WR 10.7 5,000 8.5 5,800
DAL CIN 4.6 Cooper Rush QB 20.8 5,000 19.2 6,100
DAL CIN 4.6 CeeDee Lamb WR 17.7 6,900 14.0 7,700
TB NO 4.0 Tom Brady QB 23.2 6,400 21.3 8,000
TB NO 4.0 Mike Evans WR 18.6 6,800 14.8 8,300
DET WAS 3.9 Jared Goff QB 16.7 5,400 15.7 6,700
DET WAS 3.9 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR 14.3 6,500 11.0 6,900
SEA SF 3.7 Geno Smith QB 15.7 5,100 14.6 6,300
SEA SF 3.7 D.K. Metcalf WR 12.9 6,300 10.4 6,800
CLV NYJ 3.6 Jacoby Brissett QB 17.6 5,400 16.5 6,600
CLV NYJ 3.6 Amari Cooper WR 11.7 5,400 9.3 6,300
JAX IND 3.5 Trevor Lawrence QB 17.6 5,300 16.4 6,900
JAX IND 3.5 Christian Kirk WR 13.5 5,700 10.6 6,500
NO TB 3.3 Jameis Winston QB 16.5 5,500 15.3 7,200
NO TB 3.3 Michael Thomas WR 13.7 5,800 10.7 7,000
CAR NYG 3.0 Baker Mayfield QB 15.9 5,300 14.9 7,000
CAR NYG 3.0 D.J. Moore WR 15.5 5,700 12.2 6,200
NYG CAR 3.0 Daniel Jones QB 20.1 5,100 18.8 7,100
NYG CAR 3.0 Sterling Shepard WR 10.4 4,900 8.2 5,800
NE PIT 2.9 Mac Jones QB 16.7 5,200 15.7 6,400
NE PIT 2.9 Jakobi Meyers WR 11.6 4,400 9.1 5,500
CIN DAL 2.4 Joe Burrow QB 23.2 6,600 21.3 7,900
CIN DAL 2.4 Ja'Marr Chase WR 19.9 8,000 15.8 8,700
WAS DET 2.0 Carson Wentz QB 19.4 5,800 18.1 7,400
WAS DET 2.0 Terry McLaurin WR 15.0 6,600 11.8 7,300
PIT NE 2.0 Mitchell Trubisky QB 18.2 5,000 17.0 6,500
PIT NE 2.0 Diontae Johnson WR 11.8 5,800 9.1 7,100
MIA BLT 1.1 Tua Tagovailoa QB 18.5 5,600 17.3 6,800
MIA BLT 1.1 Tyreek Hill WR 17.7 7,100 14.2 8,000
HST DEN 1.1 Davis Mills QB 16.1 5,200 15.0 6,400
HST DEN 1.1 Brandin Cooks WR 15.1 6,000 11.7 6,700

RUNNING BACK/DST

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