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Best DFS stacks & blowup targets to target in Week 17 of the 2021 NFL season

Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins (85) runs for a first down against Baltimore Ravens inside linebacker Josh Bynes (56) during the second quarter at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

DFS success boils down to finding the highest-scoring fantasy football players at each position in a given week. With close to 20 playable options at the quarterback and tight end positions, along with even more at the running back and wide receiver positions, it is a feat in itself to identify one position correctly.

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To finish at the top of a DFS contest, you must hit on basically all skill positions and circumvent the randomness associated with selecting defenses. Doing all of this while also fitting under the confines of a salary cap makes DFS one of the most difficult setups to beat consistently, especially for large-field tournaments.

SALARY-ADJUSTED FANTASY PERFORMANCE

One of the best ways to find value opportunities on a given slate is to start with the salary-adjusted expectation for all players. Because DraftKings has been around for over six years, we now have a worthwhile dataset of player salaries and their resulting fantasy performances. By figuring out the expectation based on each player’s salary and position, we can compare their salary-expected fantasy performance to PFF’s fantasy projections. Doing this highlights the best value plays based on salary.

Player Position Team DK Salary Salary Expectation Proj. Fantasy Pts Proj. Above Salary Expectation
Antonio Brown WR TB 6100 13.58 21.94 8.36
Sony Michel HB LA 5800 12.69 17.92 5.23
Devin Singletary HB BUF 5400 11.43 16.42 4.99
Antonio Gibson HB WAS 5900 13.01 17.77 4.76
Kalif Raymond WR DET 3800 6.34 10.80 4.46
Jared Cook TE LAC 3700 6.71 11.14 4.43
Antoine Wesley WR ARZ 3600 5.71 9.93 4.22
Ronald Jones HB TB 6300 14.27 18.38 4.11
Breshad Perriman WR TB 4300 7.91 11.82 3.91
D'Andre Swift HB DET 6000 13.32 17.04 3.72
Phillip Dorsett WR HST 3000 3.82 7.43 3.61
Saquon Barkley HB NYG 6000 13.32 16.57 3.25

PASS-CATCHING BLOWUP MODEL

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