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Fantasy Football: 10 Average Draft Position Risers and Fallers

Dec 20, 2020; Arlington, Texas, USA; San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk (11) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys in the second quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Last month, I looked at the players who had seen their ADP improve or decline the most over the previous month. The NFL landscape has changed since then via trades, injuries and the start of training camp, leading to more movement among average draft position.

In some cases, a player's movement up or down the draft board is just the start of a bigger rise or fall. In other cases, the market has overcorrected, and we can expect the player's ADP to bounce back over time.

The following are five players going earlier in drafts and five going later compared to a month ago. Most have some piece of news that caused their ADP to change. Along with looking at why a player is moving, we’ll see if the player is worth drafting at the current ADP or not.

All ADPs are from Underdog Fantasy.

More of PFF's 2021 Fantasy Football tools here: 
Fantasy Football Draft Kit | Rankings & Tiers | Draft Guide | Cheat Sheets
Projections | Strength of Schedule | Expected Points Weekly Finishes

ADP Risers

WR Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers

Current ADP: 7.7
Previous ADP: 18.3

Reports of Aaron Rodgers trying to leave Green Bay caused concern among fantasy managers about everyone in the Packers offense. The future Hall of Fame quarterback reported at the start of training camp and reworked his contract, putting concerns to rest at least for 2021. 

Every player in the offense has seen a significant boost in ADp except Jordan Love and Amari Rodgers. Some moved up a round and a half, though Adams and Aaron Jones were already high second-round picks who moved into the first round.

Verdict: Draft

Adams should be the first wide receiver off the board, and the eighth pick is an appropriate spot for him. He led all wide receivers in fantasy points despite missing two games last season. The only concern is that the Packers invested in slot receivers this offseason, which could lead to less time inside for Adams. That shouldn’t stop him from being the ideal pick at the end of the first round.

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