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Super Bowl same-game parlay picks: Take the Chiefs to abandon the run game, attack through the air

Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) takes the field prior to a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

• Chiefs should lean on passing game: The Eagles' run defense, and Kansas City's uncertain running back room, should make it so the Chiefs try to win through the air.

• Look for Jalen Hurts to utilize his legs: Kansas City has allowed the fifth-most quarterback scrambles and the fifth-most yards to scrambling quarterbacks this season.

Estimated Reading Time: 3 mins

Story: Kansas City Chiefs win through the air with limited efficiency from their run game

Kansas City is the pass-heaviest team in the NFL, opting to throw way above expectation. And we talked in Leveraging Tails about why Patrick Mahomes is a good bet to have success in this matchup: Volume plus the fact that Mahomes always offers upside for a big passing day. 

While we don’t want to put too much stock in on-off splits, it is also important to note that the Eagles' run defense has been stout since Jordan Davis returned from injury in Week 12. The defense has the seventh-best rush EPA and rush success rate allowed. This could mean a slow day for the Chiefs' rushing attack, pushing them further to utilize the passing game.


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