Betting News & Analysis

NFL Week 7 Player Prop Bets: Antonio Gibson, Drake London and more

2MAE0AX Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Drake London, right, reacts with teammate tight end Kyle Pitts after scoring a touchdown during the second half of an NFL football game against the Atlanta Falcons, Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)

RB Antonio Gibson, Washington Commanders — under 13.5 receiving yards: The only running backs who have gone over number against the Giants are Christian McCaffrey and De'Von Achane, two of the highest-graded running backs in the NFL.

WR Drake London, Atlanta Falcons — longest reception over 19.5 yards: The Bucs have given up 22 explosive passes of 15 or more yards on the year, tied for the fourth-most among defenses. They've allowed 21 to wide receivers, which is a league-worst mark.

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RB Antonio Gibson, Washington Commanders: Under 13.5 receiving yards (-110)

The Giants have allowed only 91 receiving yards to running backs through six weeks (15.2 yards per game), the best mark in the league.

This is partly due to their blitz-heavy scheme, which forces opposing running backs to stay in and help to block or chip rather than run a route.

The only times Antonio Gibson has gone over this total have been in games the Commanders have played with a super negative game script, such as the Broncos and Bears games, where they were down multiple scores early in the game.

• The only running backs who have gone over number against the Giants are  Christian McCaffrey and De'Von Achane, two of the highest-graded running backs in the NFL.

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RB Keaontay Ingram, Arizona Cardinals: Longest rush under 11.5 yards (-110)

• The Seahawks field one of the best run defenses in football. Entering Week 7, they rank fourth in expected points added (EPA) allowed per rush and first in rushing success rate allowed. They’ve also given up just 2.7 yards per carry to opposing backs, the best mark among all defenses.

• This season, they’ve allowed just five rushes of 10-plus yards and only three rushes of 12-plus yards. They’re tied with the Lions for the fewest explosive runs allowed.

• Part of the reason is that Bobby Wagner is having a tremendous season against the run and currently sports a position-best 93.1 run-defense grade.

• Keaontay Ingram played behind James Conner for most of the season but received the brunt of the work last weekend. However, Emari Demercado is the preferred pass-catching back and played 26 passing snaps to Ingram’s 10 in Week 6.

• The Cardinals are 7.5-point underdogs. They will likely have to play from behind and need to pass more. This should mean fewer snaps for Ingram.


WR Drake London, Atlanta Falcons: Longest reception over 19.5 yards (-114)

• The Bucs have given up 22 explosive passes of 15 or more yards on the year, tied for the fourth-most among defenses. They've allowed 21 to wide receivers, which is a league-worst mark.

• Drake London had a really quiet Week 1 game, where he caught zero passes. Since then, he’s been a bigger part of the offense. He’s come down with a 20-plus-yard reception in four of his six games this season, and his 20.8% target rate is second on the team behind Jonnu Smith.

According to PFF’s WR/CB Matchup Tool, London is expected to play the most snaps vs. Carlton Davis, who’s allowed 13.8 yards per reception this season.

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