Week 16 NFL odds are live, and the best time to bet them is now — before the lines move. Last week, all of our Wong teaser legs hit, with the exception of New England Patriots (+7.5), and the bets that counted (Houston Texans +3.5 and the over 44 in Cincinnati-Denver) went 1-1. The latter of those two bets was our pick of the week on the PFF Forecast, and it did not hit, bringing us to 10-6 on those this year.
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Make sure you check PFF’s betting dashboards when our weekly model predictions go live on Tuesdays, and of course monitor the Best Bets and Player Props tools to find the very best betting value as you venture into college football bowl season and the end of the NFL regular season. So far this week, the NFL tool is up close to four units against close. Overall this season. both tools are up around seven units against close.
Week 16 is here, let’s dive in.
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Week 16 NFL Football Betting Odds (spread, total)
Find all current spreads and PFF’s model predictions on our NFL scores page
Thursday Night Football
Sunday 1PM ET
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles (-10.5, 42)
Los Angeles Rams @ Minnesota Vikings (+3, 49.5)
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots (-1.5, 44.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers (+14, 48)
Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Jets (-2, 41.5)
Detroit Lions @ Atlanta Falcons (-5, 44.5)
Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans (+10.5, 47.5)
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5, 43.5)
Sunday 4PM ET
Sunday Night Football
Monday Night Football
Week 16 Best Early NFL Bets
- Indianapolis Colts (+7.5) @ Arizona Cardinals
- Green Bay Packers (-1.5) vs. Cleveland Browns
- Baltimore Ravens (+8.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals
- Buffalo Bills (+7.5) @ New England Patriots
- Seattle Seahawks (-1.5) vs. Chicago Bears
Wong teasers have not done particularly well as of late, but we go back to the well. As a reminder, in order for a standard -110 teaser to have value, you need both sides to be expected to hit at a rate of 72.4% (the square root of the break-even 52.4% you need for the whole bet). If you’re getting -120, which is standard, then it’s 73.9%. Without handicapping games, you’re basically asking the six points to get you 25%. That’s hard to do if you’re not crossing 3 or 7 and/or the total is extremely low (i.e., points are worth more).