Week 14 NFL odds are live, and the best time to bet them is now — before the lines move.
All of our teaser legs hit last week, and we both won and got great line value on the Indianapolis Colts (-7.5) in Houston. Our pick of the week on the PFF Forecast, Denver/Kansas City under 47.5, closed better than we bet it (46.5) and went well under (22-9). We are now 10-4 on such plays this year. The last pick that we have is New England (+3.5) on Monday Night Football, but it's not really playable at its current price (New England +2.5).
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Week 14 is here. Let’s dive in.
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Week 14 NFL Football Betting Odds (spread, total)
Find all current spreads and PFF’s model predictions on our NFL scores page
Thursday Night Football
Sunday 1PM ET
Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Football Team (+5, 49)
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans (-10.5, 43.5)
Seattle Seahawks @ Houston Texans (+7.5, 43.5)
Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5, 51)
New Orleans Saints @ New York Jets (+5.5, 44)
Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers (-2.5, 43.5)
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns (-1.5, 43.5)
Sunday 4PM ET
Sunday Night Football
Monday Night Football
Week 14 Best Early NFL Bets
- New England Patriots (+8.5) @ Buffalo Bills (WK 13 MNF)
- Seattle Seahawks (-2) @ Houston Texans
- Baltimore Ravens (+7.5) @ Cleveland Browns
- Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) vs. Las Vegas Raiders
- San Francisco 49ers (+7.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals
Wong teasers have not done particularly well as of late, but we go back to the well. As a reminder, in order for a standard -110 teaser to have value, you need both sides to be expected to hit at a rate of 72.4% (the square root of the break-even 52.4% you need for the whole bet). If you’re getting -120, which is standard, then it’s 73.9%. Without handicapping games, you’re basically asking the six points to get you 25%. That’s hard to do if you’re not crossing 3 or 7 and/or the total is extremely low (i.e., points are worth more).
There are plenty of options here, including the Monday Night Football game for Week 13 — Patriots @ Bills. The Seahawks managed to not completely flounder for the first time since quarterback Russell Wilson returned from injury, but the number against the Texans still bakes in how horrid they have been of late. And the Texans are really bad.