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These are some of the best player prop bets to target in Week 14 for the 2025 NFL season.
RB Kyle Monangai, Chicago Bears: Anytime TD (+240)
The Bears went all out this offseason to bring in Ben Johnson as their head coach for moments like this. Johnson has overhauled the Bears’ running game into a juggernaut with an NFL-best mark in rushing success rate (35.9%).
The two-headed monster of D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai has been difficult to bet with frequency, given the inconsistent workload distribution from week to week. However, this is a spot worth targeting because of their usage trends in recent weeks.
Running with authority is Monangai’s M.O., which has made him lethal at the goal line. The first-year back has secured five rushing touchdowns this season in goal-to-go situations. That mark includes one in each of his past four games, coinciding with his ascension into a role as the Bears’ primary short-yardage back. Over that span, Monangai has tallied five goal-line carries to Swift’s two.
The Packers’ defense has struggled to keep backs from breaking the plane over the past month, having surrendered five goal-line rushing touchdowns since Week 9. To make matters worse, interior defender Devonte Wyatt suffered an ankle injury during Green Bay’s Thanksgiving matchup in Detroit that is expected to cost him the rest of the 2025 season.
QB Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars: Over 217.5 passing yards (-107)
The calendar has rolled over to December, and the Jaguars find themselves in control of the AFC South by virtue of tiebreakers over the Colts. Now, they will look to take full control of the division in Week 14 with a win over Indianapolis.
Lawrence is frequently criticized for his swings in play quality, but it has to be highlighted that he is a capable passer in the right conditions. He’s managed to surpass 217.5 passing yards in eight of his 12 games this season. The 26-year-old passer has been trending in the right direction with his passing efficiency in recent weeks, generating 8.5 yards per attempt in each of his past two games (fourth best).
His Week 14 matchup with the Colts' defense profiles a strong opportunity. Despite moving mountains to bring in star cornerback Sauce Gardner ahead of the trade deadline, Indianapolis' coverage unit has struggled more in recent weeks than early in the year. With Gardner set to miss this game while he recovers from a calf strain, the unit finds itself in a tough spot to slow Lawrence down.
Colts' Coverage Splits
| Weeks 1-10 (Pre-Bye) | Weeks 12-13 (Post-Bye) | |
| EPA/Dropback Allowed | 0.013 (15th) | 0.194 (30th) |
| Yards/Att. Allowed | 6.79 (8th) | 7.75 (27th) |
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