NFL Week 10 Same-Game Parlays: Bet on Kyler Murray, Jordan Love to have big games

2M9N11J Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray throws a pass against the Los Angeles Chargers during the first half of an NFL football game in Glendale, Ariz., Sunday, Nov. 27, 2022. The Chargers won 25-24. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

• Kyler to come back with a bang? The Falcons field the second-biggest pass funnel in the league, as teams have had far more success passing the ball against them than running. The Falcons rank second in expected points added (EPA) allowed per rush but 25th in EPA allowed per pass.

• A big opportunity for Marquise Brown: Brown has been one of the league's best deep threats since entering the league, and Kyler Murray is top-10 in deep passing grade over his career. This further elevates the spot, leaving plenty of room for explosive plays to push them both well above their median prop lines.

• Get $150 in bonus bets: New FanDuel customers who bet $5 or more receive $150 in bonus bets if their team wins, plus a profit boost token every day. Join FanDuel today!

Estimated reading time: 2 minutes

Story: Tank Dell emerges as the Houston Texans‘ No. 1 WR in Nico Collins’ absence

• We are returning to the well with C.J. Stroud and Tank Dell after very narrowly missing out on an SGP cash last week. Dell has been terrific in most facets of the game but has truly excelled as a deep threat.

• Only Tyreek Hill and Justin Jefferson have earned more separation on their deep routes than Tank Dell.

• As we highlighted in our matchups column, the deep passing game is precisely where the Bengals are weakest. It is also where C.J. Stroud has been especially dominant. Dell figures to be the generator and beneficiary of this matchup.

• The rookie receiver has earned a healthy 25% target rate and ranks 11th among receivers in separation generated on deep passes. Dell should step into the clear alpha role for this offense with Nico Collins out.

PointsBet SGP Build: 50-1

Story: QB Kyler Murray leans on Marquise Brown en route to an Arizona Cardinals win

• It has certainly been a tumultuous year for the Arizona Cardinals, but their revealed preference — as they welcome back Kyler Murray and James Conner this week — has been to compete to win rather than tank.

• There is, of course, massive uncertainty about how to price the Cardinals with Murray back, but that uncertainty is the source of value, especially on the tails.

• The Falcons field the second-biggest pass funnel in the league, as teams have had far more success passing the ball against them than running. They rank second in expected points added (EPA) allowed per rush but 25th in EPA allowed per pass.

• This should tilt Kyler Murray to the air with both volume and efficiency and on his side.

• While the Cardinals' passing game has been in disarray for most of the season, Marquise Brown has been a steadying force, earning targets and separation at one of the highest clips in the league.

• Brown has been one of the league's best deep threats since entering the league, and Kyler Murray is top-10 in deep passing grade over his career. This further elevates the spot, leaving plenty of room for explosive plays to push them both well above their median prop lines.

PointsBet SGP Build: 45-1

Story: QB Jordan Love finds WR Christian Watson for a deep touchdown

• Jordan Love has been one of the most aggressive passers in the league this season, posting the second-highest depth of target and fifth-highest percentage of throws that travel 20 or more yards downfield.

• Christian Watson has been the deep threat in Green Bay and currently boasts the third-highest average target depth in the NFL. Even though target depth is inversely correlated with yards after the catch, Watson is still above average in that regard, suggesting he has multiple ways to beat a defense for a huge gain.

The Packers take on a Steelers defense that is allowing explosive passes at the second-highest rate in the league. With a QB who loves to throw it deep in a matchup that filters to the deep pass, look for Love to hit Watson for at least one big play, pushing these two players over their prop lines.

PointsBet SGP Build: 30-1
Betting Featured Tools
  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock the 2023 Fantasy Draft Kit, with League Sync, Live Draft Assistant, PFF Grades & Data Platform that powers all 32 Pro Teams

$31 Draft Kit Fee + $8.99/mo
OR
$89.88/yr + FREE Draft Kit