• More looks for the wideouts: In an attempt to limit the number of sacks Sam Howell takes, the Washington Commanders have started to keep more backs and tight ends in to block. This has meant fewer sacks for Howell and a more concentrated distribution of touches for Washington's wide receivers.
• The volume will be there: The New England defense is also one of the biggest pass funnels in the NFL, further setting up a Washington passing offense that is already at the very top of the NFL in terms of situation-adjusted pass rate.
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Estimated reading time: 2 minutes
Story: The Washington Commanders‘ systemic changes will lead to a big day for their wide receivers in a commanding win
• In an attempt to limit the number of sacks Sam Howell takes, the Washington Commanders have started to keep more backs and tight ends in to block. This has meant fewer sacks for Howell and a more concentrated distribution of touches for Washington's wide receivers.
• This matchup sets up remarkably well for Washngton's wideouts, as Jahan Dotson and Terry McLaurin have the matchup advantage against New England's cornerbacks, none of whom have earned even an above-average PFF grade.
• This New England defense is also one of the biggest pass funnels in the NFL, further setting up a Washington passing offense that is already at the very top of the NFL in terms of situation-adjusted pass rate.
• This would suggest both volume and efficiency are on the Commanders' side, and there should be enough volume — especially with the newer, more condensed target share — for McLaurin and Dotson to excel in this game.
PointsBet SGP Build: 110:1
- Sam Howell: 300+ passing yards
- Jahan Dotson: 95+ receiving yards
- WR Terry McLaurin: 80+ receiving yards
- Washington Commanders: -1.5
Story: C.J. Stroud leans on WR Tank Dell to take advantage of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense
• Tampa Bay is one of the biggest pass funnels in the NFL, meaning they are far easier to pass against than run against. This tilts teams toward the pass, as opponents have passed 5% more than expected when playing the Buccaneers.
• This matchup against Tampa should leave Stroud plenty of time to attack deep against a defense prone to allowing explosive plays.
• Tank Dell is primed to take advantage as one of the NFL's better receivers in terms of his ability to generate separation deep and to win at the catch point and after the catch.
• With a robust target share even outside of his deep role, look for Dell to put up big numbers en route to a big day for the Texans' passing attack.
PointsBet SGP Build: +4000
- C.J. Stroud: 300+ passing yards
- Tank Dell: 95+ receiving yards
- Houston Texans: -4.5
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