We can identify potential edges in the NFL Week 5 prop bet market by analyzing the underlying utilization data and trends that drive NFL box scores.

Click here for more PFF tools:

Rankings & Projections | WR/CB Matchup Chart | NFL & NCAA Betting Dashboards | NFL Player Props tool | NFL & NCAA Power Rankings

RB A.J. Dillon, Green Bay Packers – Under 6.5 Rush Attempts (105)

Dillon has 4, 5, 6 and 16 attempts in the first four games of this season. However, six of his 10 carries last week came in the four-minute offense, and 33% of totes this season have come with the Packers ahead by 10 or more. Remove those carries, and Dillon is averaging five attempts per game.

The Packers are three-point favorites this weekend at Cincinnati. If this game is as close as the line indicates, Dillon isn't a good bet to accumulate seven rushing attempts.

Related content for you: Best NFL Week 5 player prop bets via Nathan Jahnke

Taking the under on Dillon's 6.5 attempts represents a 12.7% value in the Player Props Tool.

Note: Aaron Jones is questionable but has two limited practices through Thursday. Jones followed the same routine last week and was active. He handled 64% of attempts before giving way in the four-minute offense.

---

Exclusive content for premium subscribers

WANT TO KEEP READING?

Dominate Fantasy Football & Betting with AI-Powered Data & Tools Trusted By All 32 Teams

Subscribe now

Already have a subscription? Log in