- Projected win totals vs. sportsbook lines for all 32 NFL teams: See how every team stacks up as training camps begin, and find where the biggest value lies heading into the 2025 season.
- Miami Dolphins over 7.5 wins stands out as a good bet: There are additional reasons for optimism. Miami’s rest schedule ranks among the league’s most favorable, and PFF projects its 2025 slate as the 11th-easiest in strength of schedule. Even with a Week 11 trip to Madrid costing a home game, the pieces are in place for a more stable, dynamic Dolphins team — and if Tagovailoa stays healthy, the upside is undeniable.
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With training camps just about to get underway, it’s the perfect time to start finding value in the futures market. Using PFF’s season-long simulation results, we’re highlighting a few betting opportunities in the win totals market that stand out heading into 2025.
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Last updated: Monday, July 14, 2025
Win totals for all 32 NFL teams
| Team | Strength of Schedule | PFF Projected Win Total | Sportsbook Win Total | Over | Under |
| Arizona Cardinals | 23 | 8.7 | 8.5 | -122 | 103 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 29 | 8.0 | 7.5 | -139 | 114 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 12 | 11.2 | 11.5 | -112 | -112 |
| Buffalo Bills | 24 | 11.6 | 12.5 | 118 | -148 |
| Carolina Panthers | 28 | 6.9 | 6.5 | -122 | -103 |
| Chicago Bears | 5 | 7.8 | 8.5 | 108 | -136 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 13 | 9.4 | 9.5 | -139 | 114 |
| Cleveland Browns | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 114 | -139 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 123 | -152 |
| Denver Broncos | 14 | 8.8 | 9.5 | -107 | -117 |
| Detroit Lions | 2 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 104 | -129 |
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 9.4 | 9.5 | -117 | -107 |
| Houston Texans | 17 | 9.1 | 9.5 | -103 | -122 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 20 | 7.8 | 7.5 | -103 | -122 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 25 | 7.9 | 7.5 | -112 | -112 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 10 | 10.8 | 11.5 | -103 | -122 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 16 | 7.3 | 6.5 | -152 | 123 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 15 | 9.2 | 9.5 | -107 | -117 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 18 | 9.5 | 9.5 | -139 | 114 |
| Miami Dolphins | 22 | 8.5 | 7.5 | -122 | -103 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 8.4 | 9.5 | 108 | -136 |
| New England Patriots | 30 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 104 | -129 |
| New Orleans Saints | 31 | 5.9 | 5.5 | -103 | -122 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 114 | -139 |
| New York Jets | 19 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 118 | -148 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 11.1 | 11.5 | 104 | -129 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 11 | 8.3 | 8.5 | -107 | -117 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 32 | 10.0 | 10.5 | 108 | -136 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 21 | 8.0 | 7.5 | -139 | 114 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 27 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 104 | -129 |
| Tennessee Titans | 26 | 6.3 | 5.5 | -129 | 104 |
| Washington Commanders | 8 | 9.3 | 9.5 | -117 | -107 |
Best bets
Miami Dolphins over 7.5 wins (-115 at MGM)
The Dolphins enter 2025 looking to rebound from their first losing season since 2019, and it all starts with keeping quarterback Tua Tagovailoa healthy. When Tagovailoa is on the field, Miami’s offense has proven it can operate as one of the most efficient units in the NFL. Protecting him became the clear offseason priority, with the Dolphins signing veteran guard James Daniels and using a second-round pick on tackle Jonah Savaiinaea to bolster the line.
On defense, Miami reinforced the trenches with first-round pick Kenneth Grant and will get a boost from the return of edge rushers Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb, both coming back from injuries. But the Dolphins’ identity still revolves around the passing game and the matchup nightmares created by Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. From 2022 to 2023, Miami ranked sixth in EPA per play and first in explosive pass plays, with that duo dominating targets. In 2024, they fell to 24th in both metrics, as the offense lost its signature explosiveness.
A return to that high-powered passing attack should also open up the ground game for De’Von Achane, whose otherworldly 7.4 yards per carry in 2023 dropped to 4.5 last season.
There are additional reasons for optimism. Miami’s rest schedule ranks among the league’s most favorable, and PFF projects its 2025 slate as the 11th-easiest in strength of schedule. Even with a Week 11 trip to Madrid costing a home game, the pieces are in place for a more stable, dynamic Dolphins team — and if Tagovailoa stays healthy, the upside is undeniable.
Minnesota Vikings under 9.5 wins (-125 at MGM)
The Vikings head into 2025 with more questions than answers, most of them revolving around first-year starting quarterback J.J. McCarthy.
Drafted 10th overall in 2024, McCarthy’s rookie campaign ended before it began due to a torn meniscus in the preseason. Now healthy, he takes over an offense built around one of the league’s top skill-position duos in Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison. The passing game’s success a year ago even helped Sam Darnold turn a career-best season into a $100 million contract in free agency.
Without an established franchise quarterback, Minnesota has opted for the next best team-building strategy: loading up the roster while McCarthy is on a rookie deal. That approach paid off this spring, earning the Vikings an A+ grade for their aggressive free agency moves.
Still, McCarthy enters the league with limited experience as a volume passer. At Michigan, he wasn’t often asked to carry the offense or push the ball downfield — traits he’ll need to develop quickly in an NFL offense. That learning curve, combined with a lack of continuity along the offensive line, could magnify protection issues and make life more difficult for a rookie adjusting to pro speed.
To complicate matters, Minnesota faces PFF’s third-hardest strength of schedule in 2025. It’s a daunting environment for any young quarterback to grow in, and it explains why the Vikings’ market win total sits at 9.5 despite a 14-win season last year.
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