Betting News & Analysis

Premium Content Sign Up

Sharpe's Take: Best NFL bets to make ahead of Super Bowl 55

Detroit, Michigan, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady (12) talks to head coach Bruce Arians before a game against the Detroit Lions at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

It’s finally here, the final game of the season — Super Bowl 55!

For the second time this season, the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will go head to head — this time with a Lombardi Trophy on the line. And what better way to get into the spirit than to give my take on betting the Super Bowl itself, talk about my player prop strategy and give out a few prop picks that I like.

Good luck with your bets, and enjoy the game!

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3, 56)

Team EPA/Play EPA/Play Allowed QB PFF Grade PFF Power Rating
KC +0.18 (3rd) +0.07 (19th) 91.4 (4/48) +13.0 (1st)
TB +0.15 (5th) -0.04 (4th) 92.6 (2/48) +7.7 (T-3rd)

PFF power ratings have Patrick Mahomes & Co. as 5.3-point favorites. Despite playing in mostly one-score games over the second half of the regular season, the Chiefs appeared to “take it down” somewhat in those games before “switching it on” in the playoffs. I was a bit more skeptical of this theory initially, but it seems to have been born out. And FiveThirtyEight's Josh Hermsmeyer recently showed how Chiefs head coach Andy Reid is more aggressive about going for it on fourth down in the playoffs.

Subscribe to PFF Edge to continue reading

Already have a subscription? Sign In

Betting Featured Tools

  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

    Elite CFB Prem Stats+
Pro Subscriptions

Unlock NFL Player Grades, Fantasy & NFL Draft

$9.99 / mo
$39.99 / yr

Unlock Premium Stats, PFF Greenline & DFS

$34.99 / mo
$199.99 / yr
College Subscriptions

Unlock College Player Grades and Preview Magazine

$7.99 / mo
$27.99 / yr

Unlock NCAA Premium Stats & PFF Greenline NCAA

$29.99 / mo
$119.99 / yr