NFL News & Analysis

Best of Five articles to read today

Why the Carolina Panthers should tank for Trevor Lawrence in 2020

There is a lesson to be learned from the Dolphins' 2019 season. The 2021 NFL Draft is likely to contain two of the top quarterbacks in college football from this past season, and both are probably going to be taken within the first few picks of the draft. But one quarterback, in particular, is already one of the best draft prospects of the PFF College era and is a near lock to be taken first overall. That quarterback is Clemson's Trevor Lawrence. Read more…

Luckiest and unluckiest teams of the 2019 NFL season

Looking at the disparity between actual wins and “expected wins” can bring away a few takeaways. One is to attribute the difference to “luck” or “noise,” which would be a strong indicator that if fundamentals (e.g. quarterback) don’t change too drastically, that a reversion to the mean is in order. Another is to attribute the difference to coaching. Read more…

The Jets failed to take advantage of Robby Anderson’s greatest asset

On top of the talented and deep rookie class, there are a few proven No. 1 wide receiver options available on the free agency market, namely Amari CooperA.J. Green and Emmanuel Sanders. However, there's another player who is teetering on the edge of being included in that group, but many people aren't sure if he can be a primary option on a good passing offense. That player is Robby Anderson. Read more…

True pass-rushing snaps and their importance to player evaluation

A few weeks back, we studied what we called “true pass sets” in an attempt to properly weigh noise in the evaluation of pass protectors. The other side of the coin is pass-rushers — the folks in charge of making life more difficult on the quarterback and easier on their own coverage players. Read more…

A new valuation metric for edge defenders: PFF Plus/Minus

In this analysis, I walk through how to build similar groups of edge defenders by statistical similarity and then use the larger sample of the group to calculate more meaningful estimates for the value of its constituents. This lays the foundation to further replicate the process, producing estimates for the value of each edge defender. Read more…


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