Every week, we break down the matchups, data angles and player tendencies that matter most to bettors, building a library of actionable insights you can use across the season.

Saquon Barkley draws one of the week’s most favorable trench matchups, pairing his top-10 yards-before-contact profile with a Dallas defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in the same metric. Kansas City’s Hunt brings similar touchdown equity on volume alone, converting 24 of 29 short-yardage carries and owning nearly all of the Chiefs’ inside-the-5 work this season.

Matthew Stafford is playing at an MVP level, and the Buccaneers are struggling to stop opposing passing games.

Drake Maye is set up for an efficient, explosive performance against a Bengals defense leaking big plays and struggling to generate pressure without Trey Hendrickson. At the same time, Detroit’s receivers draw clear matchup edges against the Giants’ corners, positioning the Lions offense for another high-ceiling outing.

Tyler Shough’s aggressive play style — including the second-highest ADOT in the NFL and strong underlying grades — creates real upside as he continues to trend upward week over week. With Atlanta allowing the second-highest yards per attempt over the last five weeks, this is a quietly favorable matchup for both Shough and the Saints offense.

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Dallas appears mispriced in this matchup, with Dak Prescott well equipped to counter the tight-window looks that drive most of Philadelphia’s defensive success. On the other side, the Eagles face a tougher challenge than the market suggests, especially without Lane Johnson and against a quietly improving Cowboys pass rush.

Week 12 is here, and PFF’s analysts have locked in their favorite bets of the week, powered by the PFF Player Prop Tool.

Utilizing the new PFF Player Prop Tool, here are two projections to target ahead of NFL Week 12 action.

The Texans' stingy defense has limited star running backs before, so the Bills' James Cook may be in for a tough Week 12 matchup.

Every week of the NFL season brings fresh market signals, and power ratings are one of the sharpest tools to cut through the noise. PFF’s updated ratings don’t just tell you who’s playing well — they help explain where perception and reality may be drifting apart. 

A contest between the Seattle Seahawks and Tennessee Titans is among the Week 12 games that present early betting value.

Powered by real-time projections, matchup context and AI-driven insights, the PFF Player Prop Tool gives bettors the clarity and confidence to make truly data-driven picks.

Every week, we break down the matchups, data angles and player tendencies that matter most to bettors, building a library of actionable insights you can use across the season.

A.J. Brown has been one of the league’s most effective receivers against man coverage, and Jalen Hurts has produced nearly 0.5 EPA per play more when facing man than zone. With Detroit playing heavy man coverage without the personnel to match up, this creates a strong setup for an Eagles passing-focused build featuring Hurts, Brown and Eagles -1.5.

Mahomes has returned to one of the highest scrambling rates in the NFL this year and is producing at his usual level when he takes off. That should lead to plenty of offensive success, making the Chiefs, their team-total overs, alternate lines and Mahomes props appealing in Week 11.

J.J. McCarthy has struggled badly on plays with no disruption, failing to generate positive EPA even when the league baseline is 0.3. With the Vikings defense overrated and Caleb Williams positioned to succeed against the blitz, this matchup is far less favorable for a quarterback who has consistently destroyed too many clean-play opportunities.

Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown has had a tough season, but he thrives against man coverage — which the Lions run at the second-highest rate in the NFL.