Betting News & Analysis

NFL Week 10: Schedule, odds and best early bets

Landover, Maryland, USA; Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson (18) runs after a catch against the Washington Commanders during the second half at FedExField. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

• Bet Browns +3.5 at Dolphins: Greenline edge of 2.5% on Cleveland to pick up where the Bears left off Sunday and run wild in Miami; 2.8% current edge on Browns moneyline.

Bet Seahawks TE Colby Parkinson — Over 5.5 receiving yards: 8.2% Greenline edge; Parkinson over in 5/9 games, including four with at least 23 yards.

Bet Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes — Over 2.5 pass TDs: Chiefs' top-rated passing offense in terms of EPA/attempt vs PFF's 27th-rated coverage defense (55.7 grade); game-high 14% Greenline edge.

Last updated: Nov. 13, 10:15 a.m.

Estimated reading time: 2 mins


Take a look at the odds for every Week 10 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.

Sunday, Nov. 13

Seattle Seahawks @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Seahawks +3 (-120) o44.5 (-110) +125
Bucs -3 (-100) u44.5 (-110) -150

Bet Seahawks TE Colby Parkinson — Over 5.5 receiving yards: 8.2% Greenline edge; Parkinson over in 5/9 games, including four with at least 23 yards.

Parlay bet Seahawks alt spread -7.5 + o18.5 points: With clear gap in team efficiency between Seahawks and Buccaneers, especially on offense, so push the line out as much as possible to +400.

Minnesota Vikings @ Buffalo Bills

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Vikings +6.5 (-110) o46.5 (-110) +220
Bills -6.5 (-110) u46.5 (-110) -275

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Lions +3 (-110) o48.5 (-110) +125
Bears -3 (-110) u48.5 (-110) -150

Bet Bears QB Justin Fields — Over 1.5 pass TDs: Low-hanging fruit on the under at 0.5 for nearly first half of season, Fields' marked recent improvements, plus Detroit's awful defense, help create edge.

Bet Bears QB Justin Fields — anytime TD: Bears averaging over 31 points in past three games, when they've called Fields' number on 24 designed runs, among his 320 rush yards and 3 TDs.

Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Broncos +2.5 (-115) o39 (-110) +115
Titans -2.5 (-105) u39 (-110) -140

Bet Broncos TE Greg Dulcich — Under 3.5 receptions: At +109, this get has a 15.8% PFF Greenline edge — currently the biggest of any in Nashville Sunday.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Jaguars +9.5 (-110) o51 (-110) +350
Chiefs -9.5 (-110) u51 (-110) -450

Bet Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence — Under 1.5 pass TDs: Although the former top overall pick is coming off one of his better NFL games, Greenline finds 7.2% edge on him tossing 1 or fewer TDs.

Bet Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes — Over 2.5 pass TDs: Chiefs' top-rated passing offense in terms of EPA/attempt vs PFF's 27th-rated coverage defense (55.7 grade); game-high 14% Greenline edge.

Cleveland Browns @ Miami Dolphins

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Browns +3.5 (-110) o49.5 (-110) +150
Dolphins -3.5 (-110) u49.5 (-110) -185

• Bet Browns +4: Greenline edge of 2.5% on Cleveland to pick up where the Bears left off Sunday and run wild in Miami (Cleveland moneyline has an even bigger Greenline edge — 2.8%).

• Bet Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill — Over 6.5 receptions: Denzel Ward or not in Cleveland secondary, Greenline finds overwhelming 21.9% edge on Hill hauling in at least 7 balls.

Houston Texans @ New York Giants

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Texans +4.5 (-110) o41 (-110) +180
Giants -4.5 (-110) u41 (-110) -225

Bet Giants QB Daniel Jones — Over 1.5 pass TDs: At +184, it's the second-biggest Greenline edge Sunday at the Meadowlands (12.8%), behind only Danny Dimes running fewer than 7 times (22.1%).

New Orleans Saints @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Saints +1 (-115) o39.5 (-110) -110
Steelers -1 (-105) u39.5 (-110) -110

Bet Saints -1.5: Greenline likes New Orleans to bounce back from its primetime embarrassment in Week 9, finding a 2.6% edge on this small line.

Indianapolis Colts @ Las Vegas Raiders

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Colts +4.5 (-110) o41 (-110) +165
Raiders -4.5 (-110) u41 (-110) -200

Bet Colts QB Sam Ehlinger — Under 0.5 pass TDs: He's yet to throw a touchdown on his first 52 pass attempts, and Greenline doesn't see that streak ending Sunday (game-high 12.3% edge).

Bet Raiders RB Josh Jacobs — Over 20.5 rush attempts: 8.4% Greenline edge; Jacobs over this number only three times this season, but Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller hit IR this week.

Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Cowboys -3.5 (-110) o44.5 (-110) -210
Packers +3.5 (-110) u44.5 (-110) +170

Bet Cowboys QB Dak Prescott — Over 21.5 completions: Dallas visits banged-up Packers defense after Prescott begun finding his form in Chicago prior to the bye.

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Cardinals +3 (-110) o38.5 (-110) +130
Rams -3 (-110) u38.5 (-110) -155

Los Angeles Chargers @ San Francisco 49ers

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Chargers +7.5 (-110) o45.5 (-110) +260
49ers -7.5 (-110) u45.5 (-110) -350

Monday, Nov. 14

Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Commanders +11 (-110) o43.5 (-110) +400
Eagles -11 (-110) u43.5 (-110) -550

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