Below are tiers and rankings for the top 200 players in standard-scoring fantasy leagues, allowing you to identify when value drops off in drafts. Also included are “my guys” and fades from each grouping to help better hone in on the best fantasy picks at each level.
This should allow you to easily see the best opportunities at each tier in your fantasy draft and set you up with the ideal roster construction to bring home a fantasy football championship. Let’s dive in.
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TIER 1: THE FANTASY GUARANTEE
|1||RB||Christian McCaffrey||RB 1|
|2||RB||Dalvin Cook||RB 2|
|3||RB||Derrick Henry||RB 3|
|4||TE||Travis Kelce||TE 1|
|5||WR||Tyreek Hill||WR 1|
|6||WR||Calvin Ridley||WR 2|
|7||RB||Alvin Kamara||RB 4|
|8||RB||Aaron Jones||RB 5|
|9||WR||Davante Adams||WR 3|
If the top two options in fantasy football aren’t available, then Kelce in the first round is the perfect consolation prize.
The gap between Kelce and the rest of the fantasy-relevant tight ends continues to grow by the day. There doesn’t appear to be a player more locked into finishing No. 1 overall at his position than Kelce.
Kansas City is the only team in the NFL to target tight ends on over 25% of pass attempts the past two seasons. And Kelce is the only tight end to ever be targeted on over 20% of his routes run in every season of his NFL career. There is simply no greater slam-dunk option in 2021.
A popular fantasy approach focuses on projecting concentrated volume for one or two top options in a disastrous offense. This approach has caused the ADPs of T.J. Hockenson and D’Andre Swift to skyrocket. With Michael Thomas recovering from offseason surgery, most fantasy players are quickly applying the same logic to Kamara.
The problem with Kamara is that he could see eight or more targets a game and still struggle to pay off his ADP in standard-scoring leagues. New Orleans still appears to be overrated by bookmakers based on PFF's season-long projections.
Neither potential starting quarterback figures to pepper Kamara with dump-offs on broken pass plays. Kamara should still see a healthy share of designed passing targets, but hitting the high point on his projected targets seems like a foolish proposition to bet on at this point. For this reason, I cannot get on board with Alvin Kamara at his current ADP in standard-scoring fantasy leagues.
TIER 2: THE NEXT BEST THING
|10||RB||Jonathan Taylor||RB 6|
|11||RB||Nick Chubb||RB 7|
|12||RB||Saquon Barkley||RB 8|
|13||RB||Ezekiel Elliott||RB 9|
|14||RB||Najee Harris||RB 10|
|15||RB||Joe Mixon||RB 11|
|16||RB||Austin Ekeler||RB 12|
|17||RB||Clyde Edwards-Helaire||RB 13|
|18||WR||Stefon Diggs||WR 4|
|19||WR||D.K. Metcalf||WR 5|
|20||WR||DeAndre Hopkins||WR 6|
|21||TE||George Kittle||TE 2|
Kansas City went all-in on a revamped offensive line, adding Orlando Brown Jr., Joe Thuney and Mike Remmers as starters. This will not only alleviate pressure on Patrick Mahomes but also create more running lanes for Clyde Edwards-Helaire. It’s not a stretch to say the Chiefs could look to reduce the beating Mahomes takes, especially during the regular season. Besides a quicker passing attack, more rushing attempts for Edwards-Helaire should also be expected.