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Fantasy Football: Starts and DFS picks based on high-value opportunities ahead of 2020 NFL Wild Card games

Jan 3, 2021; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Chase Claypool (11) catches a touchdown as Cleveland Browns cornerback Terrance Mitchell (39) defends during the second half at FirstEnergy Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

When it comes to fantasy football, volume has always been king. We want the players who generate the most targets and touches — more opportunities lead to more fantasy points. But not all opportunities are created equal.

Over the summer, I wrote about money opportunities — the most high-value touches and targets players can receive, including end-zone targets, deep targets (20 yards or more), air yards, carries inside the 10-yard line and carries inside the 5-yard line.

It's time to take a look at players whose stocks are up based on the high-value opportunities they saw in Week 17. Whether these opportunities resulted in fantasy production is irrelevant — if these players keep seeing high-value opportunities, fantasy points will follow.

We can use this information to help us identify under-the-radar and pay-up DFS options. We also use this information to find players primed for positive regression in 2021.

And, new for 2021, I will introduce uncatchable air yards — or “prayer yards,” as they have been coined on social media. This will greatly help fantasy gamers avoid potential pitfalls with certain players who have little to no chance of cashing in on the air yards they see.  

END-ZONE TARGETS

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