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NFL Week 4 DFS Cheat Sheet: Five recommended plays for all contests

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Michael Pittman (11) signals to the crowd after making a catch in the end zone for the Colts' first touchdown Sunday, Oct. 31, 2021, during a game against the Tennessee Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

Michael Pittman Jr. with a big advantage in Week 4: The Indianapolis Colts wide receiver has a 91.0 matchup advantage rating over Tennessee Titans cornerback Terrance Mitchell this week.

Daniel Bellinger has breakout potential: The rookie tight end has seen a sharp increase in both routes run and targets, with 25 and five, respectively in Week 3. Week 4 brings a breakout opportunity against Chicago Bears linebacker Roquan Smith (36.5 PFF receiving grade).

Garrett Wilson enters Week 4 great matchup: The rookie wideout (80.2 PFF receiving grade) has a great matchup against Pittsburgh Steelers slot cornerback Cameron Sutton (71.4 PFF coverage grade when covering the slot).

NFL Week 4 action is here. Here are five recommended plays to help you win big in DFS DraftKings GPP and cash game competitions.

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Pittman Jr. (75.8) enters Week 4 with a 91.9 matchup advantage rating over Tennessee cornerback Terrance Mitchell (58.3 PFF coverage grade) in PFF’s WR/CB matchup chart, the eighth-best rating overall. The two are expected to square off on 26 of 61 projected snaps, with Kristian Fulton (54.3 PFF coverage grade) and Roger McCreary (60.1 PFF coverage grade) expected to split the remaining 35 snaps, 23 and 12, respectively. 

Pass Defense Statistics Rec. Yds Allowed Rec. TDs Allowed Open Target % Forced Inc. %
Tennessee Titans 812 (9th-most) 8 (T-most) 63.0% (3rd-highest) 5.4% (6th-worst)

Among NFL wide receivers with at least 75 receiving snaps and 20 targets to their name, Pittman’s 23.2% targets per route run and 2.03 yards per route run rank 21st and 15th, respectively. Operating like the alpha that he is, among the same group of qualifying wide receivers, Pittman has racked up six explosive pass plays, tied for ninth-most in the league, despite missing Week 2 with a quad injury. Pittman is also one of just two wide receivers in the aforementioned category to not record a single deep target, thanks almost entirely to Colts quarterback Matt Ryan and his 31st-ranked 0.08% big-time throw rate. 

Ryan has struggled against top pass-rushing units this year, producing a 26.8 PFF passing grade when under pressure. Over the past two weeks, the Colts have faced a pair of top-12 pressure generators, the Kansas City Chiefs (35.5% quarterback pressure rate) and Jacksonville Jaguars (33.9% quarterback pressure rate). The Titans, however, rank 19th with a 31.1% quarterback pressure rate, so Ryan’s pocket should be far cozier in Week 4.


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