Researching fantasy football nuggets in Week 15 means you overcame the odds and advanced to the playoffs. Congratulations on running the gauntlet and making it this far.
Now that we’re in do-or-die mode, knowing which players to start and who to fade is as important as ever. PFF’s exclusive player grades and research tools are integral for identifying the players who stand out versus the consensus rankings.
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Using those metrics and PFF’s fantasy football rankings, here are players to target and fade in Week 15.
Rankings are based on PPR scoring.
Target: Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins
PFF Consensus: QB12
Opponent: vs. New York Jets
The playoffs aren’t the time to start overthinking lineup decisions, but a pair of injured standouts in Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson opens the door for other quarterbacks to potentially creep into QB1 territory this week.
Enter Tagovailoa, who has completed 80% of his passes over the past three games — surpassing 20 fantasy points in two of the three — and gets an elite matchup against a Jets defense that ranks 30th in PFF’s pass coverage grades. New York has allowed over 20 fantasy points to eight of the last nine quarterbacks it has faced.
Tagovailoa threw for 273 yards and a pair of scores against this defense back in Week 11, and the Jets don’t create enough pressure to cause Tagovailoa problems. New York has allowed 38 rushing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks since that matchup, and Tagovailoa is more than capable of taking advantage with his legs. View Tagovailoa as an excellent streaming option in both season-long and DFS lineups this week, boasting top-10 upside in an elite matchup.
Fade: Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks
PFF Consensus: QB17
Opponent: at Los Angeles Rams
The Seahawks were able to right the ship against the hapless Houston Texans, but things are about to get difficult in a hurry against the Rams. The potent L.A. defense boasts PFF’s No. 1 pass rush and is also solid in coverage grades.
Los Angeles ranks eighth in limiting fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, and Wilson has averaged just 208.8 passing yards with four touchdown passes and five interceptions in his last five games against the Rams.
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Last week’s breakout for RB Rashaad Penny could also lead Pete Carrol to try to slow down the game by establishing a ground game against an opponent that has beaten the Seahawks in four out of the last five meetings. It all points to rather muted stats for Wilson, making him a rather risky bet to deliver QB1 numbers this week.
Target: David Montgomery, Chicago Bears
PFF Consensus: RB10
Opponent: vs. Minnesota Vikings