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Fantasy Football: Hunting Week 6's best DFS stacks

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson stiff-arms the Patriots' Matthew Judon. Syndication The Providence Journal

Estimated reading time: 8 minutes

This DFS main-slate stack analysis is a variation of the methodology used in analyses on the single-game DraftKings showdown slates. It uses the combination of current projections, historical game results and similarity algorithms to simulate an upcoming game by looking back at the most similar historical matchups. In this analysis, I’m taking the same outline and applying it instead to the DFS main slate by projecting the likelihood each team’s QB-WR, RB-DST, QB-WR-TE, QB-RB-WR stacks will be the highest scoring of the slate. These are some of the most popular stack combinations employed in DFS strategy.

The numbers below are harnessing the unexpected connections and reactions between players that have actually happened over the past several years and thereby point to under/overvalued stacks that won’t be identified through traditional projections and logical deduction.


QUARTERBACK/WIDE RECEIVER STACK

QB/WR players
Team Opponent Highest % Player Pos DK Fpts DK Salary FD Fpts FD Salary
KC BUF 12.1 Patrick Mahomes QB 23.1 8,000 21.5 8,600
KC BUF 12.1 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR 11.9 4,500 9.8 5,800
BUF KC 9.5 Josh Allen QB 26.5 8,200 24.6 9,200
BUF KC 9.5 Stefon Diggs WR 19.4 8,400 15.1 8,900
BLT NYG 9.1 Lamar Jackson QB 23.6 8,100 22.2 8,800
BLT NYG 9.1 Devin Duvernay WR 10.1 4,700 8.1 6,200
ARZ SEA 8.7 Kyler Murray QB 23.8 7,300 22.5 8,300
ARZ SEA 8.7 Marquise Brown WR 16.3 7,200 21.5 8,200
ATL SF 7.0 Marcus Mariota QB 19.0 5,300 17.6 6,800
ATL SF 7.0 Drake London WR 14.5 5,400 11.3 6,100
GB NYJ 5.2 Aaron Rodgers QB 21.9 6,100 20.7 7,500
GB NYJ 5.2 Allen Lazard WR 13.5 6,000 11.0 6,200
SEA ARZ 4.7 Geno Smith QB 21.2 5,700 19.5 7,400
SEA ARZ 4.7 D.K. Metcalf WR 16.6 6,800 13.3 7,400
LA CAR 4.4 Matthew Stafford QB 21.4 6,200 20.0 7,200
LA CAR 4.4 Cooper Kupp WR 22.9 9,700 18.0 9,400
NE CLV 4.3 Brian Hoyer QB 16.2 4,000 15.1 6,300
NE CLV 4.3 Jakobi Meyers WR 11.8 5,300 9.1 6,600
TB PIT 3.8 Tom Brady QB 23.2 6,300 21.3 7,500
TB PIT 3.8 Mike Evans WR 17.9 7,000 14.3 7,700
NYJ GB 3.8 Zach Wilson QB 14.9 5,300 14.0 6,700
NYJ GB 3.8 Garrett Wilson WR 9.0 5,000 7.2 5,700
NO CIN 3.7 Jameis Winston QB 17.4 5,400 16.2 7,000
NO CIN 3.7 Chris Olave WR 17.2 5,500 13.5 6,700
MIA MIN 3.6 Tua Tagovailoa QB 20.2 5,900 18.8 7,000
MIA MIN 3.6 Tyreek Hill WR 21.7 7,500 17.1 8,000
CLV NE 3.3 Jacoby Brissett QB 18.9 5,400 17.7 6,600
CLV NE 3.3 Amari Cooper WR 13.9 5,900 11.0 7,100
MIN MIA 3.2 Kirk Cousins QB 19.5 6,000 18.1 7,600
MIN MIA 3.2 Justin Jefferson WR 21.3 8,900 16.7 9,200
JAX IND 3.0 Trevor Lawrence QB 17.8 5,600 16.6 7,100
JAX IND 3.0 Christian Kirk WR 13.8 5,800 10.9 7,000
PIT TB 2.6 Mitchell Trubisky QB 18.2 5,000 17.0 6,200
PIT TB 2.6 Diontae Johnson WR 12.5 5,700 9.6 6,300
IND JAX 2.5 Matt Ryan QB 17.7 5,300 16.4 6,900
IND JAX 2.5 Michael Pittman Jr. WR 14.4 6,900 11.3 6,700
CIN NO 2.1 Joe Burrow QB 21.4 6,700 19.8 8,000
CIN NO 2.1 Ja'Marr Chase WR 17.8 7,700 14.1 8,100
NYG BLT 1.9 Daniel Jones QB 20.6 5,200 19.2 6,800
NYG BLT 1.9 Richie James Jr. WR 10.1 4,200 8.2 5,300
SF ATL 1.6 Jimmy Garoppolo QB 19.1 5,500 17.9 7,100
SF ATL 1.6 Deebo Samuel WR 19.8 7,600 16.6 7,600
CAR LA 1.0 Phillip Walker QB 14.9 4,900 13.7 6,300
CAR LA 1.0 D.J. Moore WR 15.0 5,100 11.7 5,700

RUNNING BACK/DST

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