Fantasy News & Analysis

NFL Week 1 Fantasy Football Game Recap: Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears

2RT4E6T Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones heads for the end zone for a touchdown as Chicago Bears linebacker T.J. Edwards pursues during the second half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 10, 2023, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)

Aaron Jones: 9 carries, 41 yards, 1 touchdown; 2 receptions, 86 receiving yards, 1 receiving touchdown

Romeo Doubs: 4 receptions, 26 receiving yards, 2 touchdowns.

The Bears' three-man committee: When it comes to fantasy football, the biggest fear for a backfield is to see snaps distributed like this.

  • Khalil Herbert received every snap for the Bears on their first drive, but after that point, it was a free-for-all.
  • The only clear tendency was that Roschon Johnson was the primary third-down back. Johnson played on third downs with the starters in the Bears' last preseason game, so this wasn’t a surprise.
  • Herbert ended up with the most carries with nine. They resulted in 27 yards.
  • It was Johnson who scored the team’s only rushing touchdown, while Johnson also led the team in receptions with six.
  • Johnson should be a waiver wire target. It probably doesn’t make sense to put any Bears running back in your starting lineup, but Johnson could play more if the season progresses.

The Packers five-man wide receiver rotation: Green Bay used five different wide receivers throughout the game but none of them supassed 50 receiving yards.

  • Christian Watson is typically one of the Packers' outside wide receivers, but he missed the game with an injury.
  • Romeo Doubs is expected to be an every-down player, but he was also dealing with injuries and was on a snap count.
  • Jayden Reed is the Packers' third wide receiver, and that’s the role he played in this game.
  • Reed played in 30 of a possible 33 snaps in 11 personnel and rarely played in any other personnel grouping.
  • Reed led the wide receiver room in receiving yards with 48 on two receptions.
  • He was the clear slot receiver, as expected, with 22 of his snaps coming from the slot. The other four wide receivers combined for 24 snaps in the slot.
  • Samori Toure was the only other wide receiver who caught a pass, catching two for 18 yards.
  • Dontayvion Wicks nad Malik Heath also got significant playing time with no receptions.

Luke Musgrave reaches 50 receiving yards: The Packers rookie tight end caught three passes and was one of the most successful fantasy tight ends of the week.

  • He didn’t receive 100% of snaps with the starters, as he often did in the preseason, but it was still a high majority of snaps. 
  • Musgrave was a clear starter in every personnel group.
  • Most importantly, he was the clear receiving tight end. The other tight ends combined for six routes.
  • Musgrave was on the field for all but four passing plays. He stayed in to block on three passing plays.
  • He should be one of the top waiver wire targets at the position. Few tight ends available have the role and upside Mugrave has.

Miscellaneous Notes

  • The snaps for the Bears wide receivers and tight ends went as expected, with D.J. Moore, Darnell Mooney, Chase Claypool and Cole Kmet playing the vast majority of snaps.
  • It was surprising to see Chicago stay in 11 personnel for most of the game, which was at least partially due to the game script.
  • Aaron Jones was dealing with a hamstring injury late in the game, but he doesn’t believe it was pulled. He should be fine, but it’s a situation worth monitoring.

 


Table Notes

Snaps include plays called back due to penalties, including offensive holding or defensive pass interference. The other three stats have these plays removed.

Targets may differ from official NFL sources. The most likely discrepancy would be from a clear thrown-away pass, where the NFL may give the target to the nearest receiver, while this data will not.

Carries are only on designed plays. Quarterback scrambles won’t count for the total number of carries in the game.

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