In order to win a DFS tournament, it is essential to build a unique roster that embraces the randomness within each NFL game. We must identify players and game scenarios the rest of the field is overlooking because when these low-owned plays hit, rosters soar past the competition and into first place.
D’Andre Swift was our top play last week, as the Lions back piled up 104 total yards and 22.4 DraftKings points at only 6% rostership. We missed on Marvin Jones Jr. because Jaguars head coach Urban Meyer apparently has zero clue who is on his team — Jamal Agnew and Tavon Austin saw a combined 12 targets compared to seven for Jones and Laviska Shenault Jr.
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The Chargers-Ravens matchup carries a lofty 52-point total, and there could be serious fantasy football fireworks in this game. Enter Allen, who has largely disappointed this season, with his only game above 20 DraftKings points coming all the way back in Week 1.
The Chargers' passing attack has been focused around big Mike Williams this year, but the Ravens present a massive opportunity for Allen to get back on track.
Here is the production the Baltimore defense has allowed to the slot this season:
|Catches of 15-plus yards allowed||17||32nd|
RB Joe Mixon and WR Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati Bengals (6% and 4% projected rostership)
The Lions' defense gives up production everywhere. Last week, they got smacked around by Justin Jefferson for a seven-catch, 124-yard day out and by Alexander Mattison for an equally impressive 153-yard rushing performance. So, if this game exceeds its healthy 48-point total, multiple players on the Bengals could pop off for monster scores.
Going with Mixon and Boyd is a simple leverage play against the more popular Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. The running back and slot receiver duo also pair well, considering the most likely scenario on how they each will rack up points — Boyd hits with a high reception total in PPR scoring, while Mixon scores the touchdowns.
Mixon will go completely overlooked because of his injury concerns, even though Samaje Perine‘s recent addition to the COVID-19 list means that Mixon will probably return to a bell-cow role.
Boyd boasts the fourth-best WR/CB matchup this week. Further, the Bengals strength of schedule rating ranks first for wide receivers and third for running backs. Play the studs against the Lions and watch the fantasy points roll in.
Swift was our best play on last week’s DFS slate, so let’s go right back to the well in another phenomenal matchup for the star running back.
For some strange reason, DraftKings refuses to raise his price — Swift's $6,300 salary is still too cheap for a player who has topped 20 fantasy points in three of five games this season.
The Bengals' defense has been dominated by opposing running backs in the receiving game:
- 47 targets (most)
- 38 completions (third)
- 238 yards (ninth)
He is an elite correlation play with Boyd and Mixon to capture all the upside in a potential back-and-forth affair.
The number of routes run is the most predictive factor of fantasy points at the tight end position. And Travis Kelce was the only tight end to tally more routes than Seals-Jones' 42 in Week 5. That's pretty good company.
The former Arizona Cardinal was quite popular as a punt last week and disappointed in the box score with a 5-41-0 receiving line despite seeing eight targets. This should keep his rostership down in this juicy matchup against a Chiefs defense that has given up the most yards (466) and yards per attempt (12.3) to tight ends this season.
The Football Team’s new starting tight end is dirt cheap at $3,000 on DraftKings and $5,000 on FanDuel. Additionally, paying all the way down at tight end will force a completely different build compared to rosters that use Kelce. The Chiefs' superstar is projected to be the second-highest rostered player on the entire slate.
Four of PFF’s fantasy analysts rank Seals-Jones inside the top 12 tight ends for Week 6.