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Fantasy Football: Hunting Week 7's best DFS stacks

Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) runs with ball during the second half of a game against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

Estimated reading time: 9 minutes

This DFS main-slate stacks analysis is a variation of the methodology used in analyses on the single-game DraftKings showdown slates. It uses the combination of current projections, historical game results and similarity algorithms to simulate an upcoming game by looking back at the most similar historical matchups. In this analysis, I’m taking the same outline and applying it instead to the DFS main slate by projecting the likelihood each team’s QB-WR, RB-DST, QB-WR-TE, QB-RB-WR stacks will be the highest scoring of the slate. These are some of the most popular stack combinations employed in DFS strategy.

The numbers below harness the unexpected connections and reactions between players that have happened over the past several years and thereby point to under/overvalued stacks that won’t be identified through traditional projections and logical deduction.

QUARTERBACK/WIDE RECEIVER STACK

QB/WR players
Team Opponent Highest % Player Pos DK Fpts DK Salary FD Fpts FD Salary
BLT CLV 15.7 Lamar Jackson QB 22.7 8,000 21.4 8,800
BLT CLV 15.7 Rashod Bateman WR 9.5 5,200 7.6 6,500
KC SF 8.9 Patrick Mahomes QB 22.1 7,800 20.7 8,500
KC SF 8.9 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR 11.5 4,400 9.4 5,600
LAC SEA 7.5 Justin Herbert QB 25.5 7,200 23.9 8,100
LAC SEA 7.5 Keenan Allen WR 15.8 6,700 12.4 7,300
DAL DET 6.8 Dak Prescott QB 20.8 6,700 19.4 7,500
DAL DET 6.8 CeeDee Lamb WR 16.5 6,800 13.2 7,700
TB CAR 6.7 Tom Brady QB 23.5 6,300 21.8 7,400
TB CAR 6.7 Mike Evans WR 19.3 6,900 15.5 7,600
CIN ATL 5.7 Joe Burrow QB 22.9 6,900 21.4 8,300
CIN ATL 5.7 Ja'Marr Chase WR 17.9 8,200 14.5 8,500
ATL CIN 5.6 Marcus Mariota QB 17.8 5,500 16.5 7,100
ATL CIN 5.6 Drake London WR 14.0 5,400 10.9 6,000
SF KC 5.4 Jimmy Garoppolo QB 17.9 5,500 16.7 7,200
SF KC 5.4 Deebo Samuel WR 16.3 7,600 13.4 7,700
JAX NYG 4.0 Trevor Lawrence QB 18.5 5,700 17.2 7,200
JAX NYG 4.0 Christian Kirk WR 14.1 5,900 11.2 7,200
NYJ DEN 3.8 Zach Wilson QB 15.0 5,100 14.1 6,600
NYJ DEN 3.8 Garrett Wilson WR 9.4 4,500 7.5 5,500
CLV BLT 3.6 Jacoby Brissett QB 18.1 5,300 16.9 6,500
CLV BLT 3.6 Amari Cooper WR 13.9 6,100 10.9 7,200
LV HST 3.5 Derek Carr QB 20.6 5,900 19.1 7,600
LV HST 3.5 Davante Adams WR 19.3 8,700 15.2 8,600
WAS GB 3.2 Taylor Heinicke QB 15.9 5,000 15.0 6,600
WAS GB 3.2 Curtis Samuel WR 12.5 5,300 10.0 5,500
NYG JAX 3.1 Daniel Jones QB 20.1 5,100 18.9 6,900
NYG JAX 3.1 Kadarius Toney WR 9.0 4,300 7.2 4,800
SEA LAC 2.7 Geno Smith QB 20.1 5,600 18.5 6,800
SEA LAC 2.7 D.K. Metcalf WR 16.0 6,600 12.8 6,900
DET DAL 2.6 Jared Goff QB 14.4 5,800 13.5 7,300
DET DAL 2.6 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR 12.6 7,100 9.6 7,500
TEN IND 2.5 Ryan Tannehill QB 18.3 5,700 17.5 6,700
TEN IND 2.5 Robert Woods WR 11.6 5,500 9.0 5,800
HST LV 2.4 Davis Mills QB 17.4 5,000 16.1 6,300
HST LV 2.4 Brandin Cooks WR 17.3 6,000 13.4 6,300
GB WAS 2.3 Aaron Rodgers QB 20.9 6,000 19.7 7,100
GB WAS 2.3 Allen Lazard WR 14.7 6,100 11.8 6,600
IND TEN 2.3 Matt Ryan QB 16.7 5,400 15.5 7,300
IND TEN 2.3 Michael Pittman Jr. WR 14.9 7,400 11.6 7,500
DEN NYJ 1.6 Russell Wilson QB 18.1 6,200 17.1 7,000
DEN NYJ 1.6 Courtland Sutton WR 11.5 6,200 9.3 7,000
CAR TB 1.4 P.J. Walker QB 15.8 5,000 14.5 6,200
CAR TB 1.4 D.J. Moore WR 14.6 4,900 11.4 5,500

RUNNING BACK/DST

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