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Best DFS stacks & blowup targets to target in Week 16 of the 2021 NFL season

Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp (10) runs the ball against the Tennessee Titans during the second half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

DFS success boils down to finding the highest-scoring fantasy football players at each position in a given week. With close to 20 playable options at the quarterback and tight end positions, along with even more at the running back and wide receiver positions, it is a feat in itself to identify one position correctly.

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To finish at the top of a DFS contest, you must hit on basically all skill positions and circumvent the randomness associated with selecting defenses. Doing all of this while also fitting under the confines of a salary cap makes DFS one of the most difficult setups to beat consistently, especially for large-field tournaments.

SALARY-ADJUSTED FANTASY PERFORMANCE

One of the best ways to find value opportunities on a given slate is to start with the salary-adjusted expectation for all players. Because DraftKings has been around for over six years, we now have a worthwhile dataset of player salaries and their resulting fantasy performances. By figuring out the expectation based on each player’s salary and position, we can compare their salary-expected fantasy performance to PFF’s fantasy projections. Doing this highlights the best value plays based on salary.

Player Position Team DK Salary Salary Expectation Proj. Fantasy Pts Proj. Above Salary Expectation
Ronald Jones HB TB 5100 10.50 17.91 7.41
Antonio Brown WR TB 4900 9.80 16.56 6.76
Nico Collins WR HST 3400 5.08 11.60 6.52
Byron Pringle WR KC 3300 4.76 11.08 6.32
Mecole Hardman WR KC 3500 5.39 11.24 5.85
James Robinson HB JAX 5900 13.02 18.28 5.26
Josh Jacobs HB LV 6000 13.33 18.46 5.13
Jared Cook TE LAC 3500 6.09 11.14 5.05
Kalif Raymond WR DET 3900 6.65 11.36 4.71
Chris Conley WR HST 3300 4.76 9.27 4.51
D.J. Moore WR CAR 5700 12.32 16.81 4.49
Hayden Hurst TE ATL 2600 3.25 7.71 4.46

PASS-CATCHING BLOWUP MODEL

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