DFS success boils down to finding the highest-scoring fantasy football players at each position in a given week. With close to 20 playable options at the quarterback and tight end positions, along with even more at the running back and wide receiver positions, it is a feat in itself to identify one position correctly.
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To finish at the top of a DFS contest, you must hit on basically all skill positions and circumvent the randomness associated with selecting defenses. Doing all of this while also fitting under the confines of a salary cap makes DFS one of the most difficult setups to beat consistently, especially for large-field tournaments.
SALARY-ADJUSTED FANTASY PERFORMANCE
One of the best ways to find value opportunities on a given slate is to start with the salary-adjusted expectation for all players. Because DraftKings has been around for over six years, we now have a worthwhile dataset of player salaries and their resulting fantasy performances. By figuring out the expectation based on each player’s salary and position, we can compare their salary-expected fantasy performance to PFF’s fantasy projections. Doing this highlights the best value plays based on salary.
|Player||Position||Team||DK Salary||Salary Expectation||Proj. Fantasy Pts||Proj. Above Salary Expectation|
|Jeff Wilson Jr.||HB||SF||5000||10.21||15.60||5.39|
|Marvin Jones Jr.||WR||JAX||4600||8.88||13.76||4.88|
|Laviska Shenault Jr.||WR||JAX||4300||7.93||12.10||4.17|
PASS-CATCHING BLOWUP MODEL