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Best DFS stacks & blowup targets to target in Week 13 of the 2021 NFL season

Landover, Maryland, USA; Washington Football Team wide receiver Terry McLaurin (17) runs with the ball past Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackle Rakeem Nunez-Roches (56) and Buccaneers nose tackle Vita Vea (50) during the fourth quarter at FedExField. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

DFS success boils down to finding the highest-scoring fantasy football players at each position in a given week. With close to 20 playable options at quarterback and tight end, along with even more at running back and wide receiver, it is a feat in itself to identify one position correctly.

To finish at the top of a DFS contest, you must hit on basically all skill positions and circumvent the randomness associated with selecting defenses. Doing all of this while also fitting under the confines of a salary cap makes DFS one of the most difficult setups to beat consistently, especially for large-field tournaments.

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SALARY-ADJUSTED FANTASY PERFORMANCE

One of the best ways to find value opportunities for a given NFL slate is to start with the salary-adjusted expectation for all players. Because DraftKings has been around for over six years, we now have a worthwhile dataset of player salaries and their resulting fantasy performances. By figuring out the expectation based on each player’s salary and position, we can compare their salary-expected fantasy performance to PFF’s fantasy projections. Doing this highlights the best value plays based on salary.

Player Position Team DK Salary Salary Expectation Proj. Fantasy Pts Proj. Above Salary Expectation
Jamaal Williams HB DET 5400 11.50 19.02 7.52
Josh Reynolds WR DET 3400 5.10 11.36 6.26
Foster Moreau TE LV 2700 3.58 9.39 5.81
Laquon Treadwell WR JAX 3200 4.47 9.38 4.91
Darrell Henderson HB LA 6100 13.70 18.46 4.76
Jared Cook TE LAC 3100 4.84 9.12 4.28
Van Jefferson WR LA 5300 11.09 15.27 4.18
James Conner HB ARZ 5900 13.07 17.07 4.00
Brandon Aiyuk WR SF 5600 12.04 15.98 3.94
Jauan Jennings WR SF 3100 4.16 8.08 3.92
Adam Shaheen TE MIA 2500 2.95 6.86 3.91
Myles Gaskin HB MIA 5800 12.76 16.61 3.85
Olamide Zaccheaus WR ATL 3800 6.36 10.12 3.76
Marvin Jones Jr. WR JAX 4700 9.20 12.61 3.41
Zach Pascal WR IND 3500 5.42 8.76 3.34
Kyle Pitts TE ATL 5600 12.71 15.83 3.12

PASS-CATCHING BLOWUP MODEL

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