Drafting from a late position can be tricky this year. There is a dropoff at running back in the mid-third round, and it is easy to fall into the trap of drafting multiple players from bad teams at this spot.
Over the last 14 days, I drafted 27 best-ball teams on DraftKings in an effort to put my draft strategies and tier articles into an actionable format and test my convictions. Ultimately, the goal is to combine experience with the research already done to craft the right draft strategy for each position.
- Roster construction goals
- When to be aggressive vs. ADP
- When to wait for value vs. ADP
- Stacks and correlation
DraftKings Best Ball Overview
Starters: 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1FLX (RB, WR, TE)
Scoring: PPR with 3-point bonuses for 300 yards passing, 100 yards rushing and 100 yards receiving
Roster spots: 20
The contests have a top-heavy payout structure that requires advancing through multiple rounds to ultimately play in a final week, similar to a DFS contest.
Round 1: Weeks 1-14, top-2 seeds out of 12 advance
Round 2: Week 15, the top seed out of 12 advances
Round 3: Week 16, the top seed out of 12 advances
Round 4: Week 17, 969-team pool for $3.5M Millionaire ($1M to first) and 135-team pool for $300K Play-action ($30K to first)
|DraftKings $3.5 Millionaire: Pick 10|
|Starting Lineup||QB||Trey Lance||SF||82||96|
|WR||Amon-Ra St. Brown||DET||63||61|
Build: 2QB, 7RB, 9WR, 2TE
Quarterback-receiving stacks: 2 (Lance-Aiyuk), (Rodgers-Watson-Doubs)
Super-Stack 12 Players: 14 (SF, ARI, BUF, LV, GB, TB, LAC, CIN, GB, LAR)
Week 17 Stacks: 4 (SF-LV, GB-MIN, BUF-CIN, LAC-LAR)
Round 1 (Pick 10): Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings
There is a lot of buzz around Cook in the new Kevin O’Connell offense, but ultimately, the Vikings' pace and how the targets flow in the passing game should be similar. We should see more 11 personnel, which could lighten boxes, but the talent profile is the more significant feather in Cook’s cap.
The sixth-year veteran remains an explosive playmaker with an explosive rush rate (10-plus yards) 3.5 percentage points above the NFL average while sporting a 20% target-per-route rate over the last four seasons. There is a chance Cook is the No. 3 option in this passing game because he is a valuable player to target in space.
When passing on RB with the first two picks, fantasy managers are hoping Travis Etienne or James Conner makes it back in the third, which can be hit or miss. Grabbing a back with one of the first two selections isn’t a must, but it helps build a balanced roster where we don’t have to worry as much about positional runs later.
Additional target notes:
Kelce will likely serve as the focal point of the Kansas City Chiefs’ passing offense despite heading into his age-32 season. No other schedule packs as many 50-point games as Kansas City’s nine, so he would have been the pick if he had made it.
Adams and Diggs are great selections in the first round, as they have top-notch talent profiles in solid offenses with plenty of game-stack options.