NFL Draft News & Analysis

Fantasy Football 2024: Caleb Williams gets selected No. 1 overall, will immediately lift the Chicago Bears offense

2T26P4A SOUTH BEND, IN - OCTOBER 14: USC Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams (13) runs the ball for a gain during the college football game between the USC Trojans and Notre Dame Fighting Irish on October 14, 2023, at Notre Dame Stadium in South Bend, IN. (Photo by Jordon Kelly/Icon Sportswire) (Icon Sportswire via AP Images)

• The No. 1 overall pick is official: Caleb Williams is drafted by the Chicago Bears and is steps into an ideal fantasy-friendly offense in 2024.

Keenan Allen and DJ Moore are waiting with open arms: There are more than enough options for Williams to get the ball to as a rookie, on top of his playmaking ability with his legs, he should be an exciting fantasy asset.

• Check in on the PFF Fantasy live draft blog: Reactions and conversations around each pick as they happen.

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The Chicago Bears kicked off the 2024 NFL Draft by selecting Caleb Williams with the No. 1 overall pick. This pick appeared destined as soon as the Justin Fields trade happened in March of this year. Williams is the top-ranked overall player on the PFF big board, where he is noted to be “a QB with franchise-changing talent that is worthy of a No. 1 overall selection,” which is exactly what the Bears needed.

The Chicago Bears’ new franchise quarterback

Williams posted a very high-end 91.4 PFF passing grade for his college career, performing well across all stable passing metrics while adding so much more playmaking upside with his legs. Williams ran the ball an average of 6.3 times per game in college, leading to over 1,500 rushing yards and 27 rushing touchdowns for his college career and lends to his overall fantasy potential in the NFL.

Caleb Williams’ career college metrics and ranks:
Metric Value Rank among QB prospects since 2017
Passing grade 91.4 88th percentile
Big-time throw rate 6.5% 84th percentile
Turnover-worthy play rate 2.5% 84th percentile
Passing grade beyond the sticks 95.5 93rd percentile
Passing grade w/o play action 91.1 93rd percentile
Missed tackles forced per run 0.32 97th percentile
Explosive run rate 24.6% 91st percentile

What being drafted by the Chicago Bears means for Caleb Williams

The Bears had mild success at best last season with Justin Fields at quarterback where DJ Moore and Cole Kmet were the lone consistent fantasy options worth trusting at their positions. However, the Bears have continued to upgrade the offense by adding one of the league’s best receivers in Keenan Allen and a strong receiving running back in D’Andre Swift, while also bringing in Ryan Bates to help the offensive line. Williams is landing in a great offensive situation to thrive as a rookie with a plethora of weapons at his disposal.

Chicago Bears 2023 stats and ranks (Weeks 1-17):
Metric Value Rank
Pass play percentage 57.3% 28th
Run play percentage 42.7% 5th
FF PPG (QB) 17.2 13th
FF PPG (RB) 16.2 16th
FF PPG (WR) 17.4 27th
FF PPG (TE) 7.8 13th
Chicago Bears expected 2024 depth chart:
Chicago Bears expected quarterback depth chart
QB1 Caleb Williams
QB2 Brett Rypien
QB3 Tyson Bagent

Fantasy football outlook

Williams should be in consideration as a top 10-12 dynasty quarterback asset given his high-end playmaking ability, age and the offense around him. In 2024, he should push to be a top-15 option with upside on a weekly basis given his talent and surrounding weapons.

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