• Jets struggling at cornerback: The Jets have fielded one of the best defenses in the league over recent years, but they will be without the dominant starting cornerback duo of Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed in Week 6.
• Patriots struggling everywhere: One of the bigger mismatches of the week is that of the Raiders receivers against a depleted Patriots secondary that plays the most man coverage in the NFL.
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Estimated reading time: 3 minutes
Story: C.J. Stroud leans on Nico Collins for a big passing day against an overrated New Orleans Saints defense
• Stroud has been dominant from clean pockets this year, which he should have plenty of in Week 6 because of the improved health of the Texans' offensive line.
• The Saints have also generated quick pressure at a bottom-20th-percentile rate, which should give Stroud the time he needs to continue his strong rookie campaign.
• The market pricing respects the Saints defense, giving low prop numbers for Stroud. However, this is likely the unit's toughest test yet, as the Houston passing offense has been surprisingly good this season.
• The Saints have played the seventh-most man coverage in the NFL this season. Nico Collins has shined against these looks through five weeks, generating the third-most yards per route run and producing above-average separation numbers.
• The Texans will be without Tank Dell, leaving a higher target share for Collins. If the Texans are to have success through the air, it will almost certainly flow through Collins.
PointsBet SGP build: +3500
- WR Nico Collins: 6+ receptions
- WR Nico Collins: 125+ receiving yards
- QB C.J. Stroud: 300+ passing yards
Story: Philadelphia Eagles build lead through the air against pass-funnel New York Jets
• The Jets have fielded one of the best defenses in the league over recent years, but they will be without the dominant starting cornerback duo of Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed in Week 6.
• The above chart shows the teams that are better against the pass than the run. The Jets are one of the league's biggest pass funnels, as teams have far more success passing against them.
• The Eagles have varied their pass rates from week to week, but given the Jets' injuries and stout run defense, the Eagles figure to tilt to the air in this spot.
• When the Eagles turn to the air, there is enough volume for both A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith to hit ceiling games because their target share is so condensed.
FanDuel SGP Build: + 8264
- QB Jalen Hurts: 300+ passing yards
- WR A.J. Brown: 125+ receiving yards
- WR DeVonta Smith: 90+ receiving yards
- Philadelphia Eagles: -6.5
Story: Las Vegas Raiders rely on the passing game en route to a win over the struggling New England Patriots
• One of the bigger mismatches of the week is that of the Raiders receivers against a depleted Patriots secondary that plays the most man coverage in the NFL.
• Man coverage reflects the talents on the field more than zone, as good receivers consistently beat good corners, and vice versa. Davante Adams running routes against J.C. Jackson spells absolute trouble for New England.
• The strength of this New England defense is its run defense, where the team ranks fifth in rushing success rate allowed. So, even if the Raiders build a lead, they should continue to pass and press their advantage against the Struggling Pats.
PointsBet SGP Build: +4000
- RB Josh Jacobs: under 70.5 rushing yards
- WR Davante Adams: 110+ receiving yards
- QB Jimmy Garoppolo: 275+ passing yards
- Las Vegas Raiders: -5.5
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