Betting News & Analysis

NFL Week 17 same-game parlays

2W905RX Inglewood, United States. 22nd Dec, 2023. Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) throws a pass wide receiver Cooper Kupp (10) during a NFL game against the New Orleans Saints, Thursday, December 21, 2023, at SoFi Stadium, in Inglewood, CA. The Rams defeated the Saints 30-22. (Jon Endow/Image of Sport) Photo via Credit: Newscom/Alamy Live News

• Will Derek Carr lean on Rashid Shaheed to propel the Saints? Shaheed led the Saints' wide receivers in snaps last week, and his route tree has expanded beyond simple deep routes. He is every bit the legitimate WR2 in New Orleans.

• The Rams are poised to carve up the Giants' defense: Cordale Flott will have his hands full in a matchup with Rams slot receiver Cooper Kupp, who has continued to dominate this season at the top of the league in his ability to separate and in yards per route run.

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Story: Derek Carr leans on Rashid Shaheed en route to Saints win

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have struggled to defend wide receivers all season, allowing a league-leading average of 210 yards to the position — 12 more yards per game than second-place Washington has surrendered. Part of this has been a function of the Buccaneers struggling to defend the deep pass, allowing the third-highest rate of explosive plays this season.

Shaheed has one of the higher deep route depths in the league while also maintaining a high level of separation, perfect for a matchup against a Buccaneers defense struggling in both areas.

Further, Shaheed is no longer being used as a part-time wide receiver, the sample that influences his price. Rather, Shaheed led the Saints' wide receivers in snaps last week, and his route tree has expanded beyond simple deep routes. He is every bit the legitimate WR2 in New Orleans.

PointsBet SGP Build: 55-1

Story: Matthew Stafford trusts Cooper Kupp versus a blitz-happy Giants defense

No cornerback has been worse at preventing separation this season than the Giants' Cor’Dale Flott from the slot. And Flott will have his hands full in a matchup with Rams slot receiver Cooper Kupp, who has continued to dominate this season at the top of the league in his ability to separate and in yards per route run.

The Giants' defense blitzes more than 50% of the time, the second-highest rate in the NFL. Facing the blitz, Kupp has a 33% target share — by far the highest on the Rams — and has generated the fifth-most separation.

In a perfect matchup, look for Stafford to find Kupp early and often as they carve up the Giants' secondary in a win.

PointsBet SGP Build: 35-1

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