We can identify potential edges in prop bet markets by analyzing the underlying utilization data and trends that drive NFL box scores.
Click here for more PFF tools:
TE Jared Cook, Los Angeles Chargers – Under 3.5 Receptions (-119)
Cook is averaging 68% routes per pass play and 16% targets per route run (TPRR).
Since 2011, 14 tight ends have averaged between 60 and 70% routes per pass play and between 15% and 18% targets per route run. That group averaged 2.9 receptions per game, and only three (21%) were able to eclipse 3.5 receptions per game.
Cook currently ranks as the 13th-best value on the PFF's player props tool for tight end receptions at 9.3%.