Utilizing our player props tool has been beneficial to sports bettors' bankrolls to start the 2020 season, as the ability to adjust both number and price means you are always certain of the expected value for each prop bet.
Written picks have also done well, going 47-31 as we head into the main Sunday slate of Week 9. This record is based on grading against the closing line number. One-unit wagers have profited 8.15 units to start the season when minus-priced props are set to win one unit and plus-money props risk one unit.
The mean total for Week 9 has bounced about 1.5 points from last week after 8 out of 13 games went over in Week 8, despite the weather concerns. This week, we have the sixth-highest mean total dating back to 2010. This information provides context for how we should approach what the betting market believes should be a high-scoring week.
Just because game totals go over doesn’t mean player props always follow suit. There is typically concentrated production from a few high-end players that smash the over on their player props but leave little room for the rest of their teammates to do the same. Let’s dive into the best player props to make as we head into the main slate of Week 8. If you would like to hear a full discussion of all player props for this Sunday’s slate, make sure to listen to the PFF Daily Betting podcast.
Derek Carr over 8.5 rushing yards