Monday Night Football: Packers-Raiders betting preview (odds, lines, best bets)

2RTAAHH Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love passes during the first half of an NFL football game against the Chicago Bears Sunday, Sept. 10, 2023, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Erin Hooley)

• Injury concerns for the Raiders: Backup slot corner Nate Hobbs has already been ruled out. Outside cornerbacks David Long and Jakorian Bennett were limited in practice all week and have questionable tags on the final injury report.

• Packers nearing full strength: It feels as though Jordan Love has dinked and dunked his way through the first few weeks of the season, but he has the highest average depth of target of any quarterback in the league right now. Better yet, he returns his star receiver Christian Watson against a depleted secondary.

• Bet $5 and get $200 in guaranteed bonus bets! Click here to sign up with FanDuel

Estimated reading time: 3 minutes

GAME OVERVIEW

There are injury concerns in the secondary for both teams. The Raiders, in particular, are starting to look really thin.

Backup slot corner Nate Hobbs has already been ruled out. Outside cornerbacks David Long and Jakorian Bennett were limited in practice all week and have questionable tags on the final injury report. This leaves just Marcus Peters and slot corner Amik Robertson at full health, and if Bennett or Long can not go, there will have to be some practice squad movement to fill the outside corner position. Maxx Crosby was also limited in practice but is not on the final injury report.

The Raiders' injury concerns aren't all on one side of the ball, though, as wide receiver Davante Adams is officially questionable (although he does appear as if he will be good to go), and quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo returns having missed last week.

Former first-round cornerback Eric Stokes is close to returning to the field for the Packers, although he is probably still a week away. Jaire Alexander should be good to go, though, as he appears determined to match up against former teammate Davante Adams. Safety Rudy Ford is also questionable with an oblique injury.

The Packers' starting offensive line also has some issues, as offensive guards Elgton Jenkins and Jon Runyan and right tackle Zach Tom were all limited in practice yet find themselves without a designation on the final injury report. 

It remains to be seen whether Aaron Jones is healthy enough to return, as he also comes with a questionable tag.

PFF's Best Bets Tool uses PFF data to uncover the biggest edges in the betting market. Click here to see the best bets for this game.

Green Bay Packers: Over 21.5 Team Points (-116 FanDuel)

The injury concerns surrounding the Las Vegas defense are real. Even if Jakorian Bennett and David Long are ready to go, the Raiders are still struggling for depth and have only the starters available. Meanwhile, the Packers are starting to get healthier on offense.

It feels as though Jordan Love has dinked and dunked his way through the first few weeks of the season, but he has the highest average depth of target of any quarterback in the league right now. Better yet, he returns his star receiver Christian Watson against a depleted secondary.

Quarterback J. Love J. Garoppolo
PFF Grade 67.2 68.7
Passer Rating Clean 104.8 111.3
Passer Rating Under Pressure 30.7 11.6
Big-Time Throw % 3.82% 1.82%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 2.55% 3.64%
Power Rating 1 2.5
Power Rating Rank 25th 13th

Christian Watson is a cheat code against man coverage, and the Raiders have played Cover 1 on more than 20% of their snaps so far this season. The team has given up a ridiculous 0.658 expected points added (EPA) per play on those snaps compared to the -0.044 EPA per play they have given up in zone coverage.

Before Watson’s return, the Packers receivers excelled against zone defenses, earning a 73.3 team receiving grade through three weeks compared to a 57.7 grade against man.

They have filled out the weakness of their passing game just in time for a matchup against a team struggling to field a full group of cornerbacks.

Betting Featured Tools
  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock the 2023 Fantasy Draft Kit, with League Sync, Live Draft Assistant, PFF Grades & Data Platform that powers all 32 Pro Teams

$31 Draft Kit Fee + $8.99/mo
OR
$89.88/yr + FREE Draft Kit