NFL Week 11 is here, which means it's time to take advantage of some high-value player props.
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My picks went 2-1 last week. D’Andre Swift easily cleared 11.5 carries, as he nearly tripled that mark with 33 runs against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Jared Cook finished comfortably under 2.5 receptions, as he caught just one pass. The one loss came from Nick Westbrook-Ikhine. His over 13.5 receiving yards seemed like a lock after Julio Jones ended up on injured reserve, but he only managed 10 receiving yards on a slow day for the Titans offense. This article's record now stands at 12-12 on the season.
Leverage PFF's player props tool to find the most valuable bets to make in Week 11.
WR DeAndre Carter, Washington Football Team: Under 2.5 receptions (-122)
The Football Team has dealt with many injuries at wide receiver over the course of the season. Free agent addition Curtis Samuel was expected to start at one of the outside receiver spots but has only managed 30 offensive snaps. Dyami Brown and Cam Sims were Samuel's initial replacements, but both have dealt with injuries recently as well. All three receivers were either not practicing or limited as recently as last week.
This has given Carter a chance to be the starting outside receiver. However, the receiver room seems to be getting healthier, as Samuel — not Sims or Brown — was the only one of the three receivers on Washington's injury report this week, and he's questionable. As a starter, Carter caught three passes in each of the last two games.
Even if Carter ends up playing his usual snap share over Samuel, Brown and Sims, he will have a tougher time against the Carolina Panthers defense than he has against Washington's last few opponents. His average depth of target is the highest among Washington players, but Carolina is particularly well suited against deep threats. The Panthers have allowed just 42 receptions on intermediate or deep passes, ranking second-best among all defenses. Even if he plays and sees targets, it doesn't mean the Panthers secondary will allow him to catch them.
TE Ryan Griffin, New York Jets: Over 12.5 receiving yards (-115)