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Jahnke: Best 2022 NFL divisional round player props bets

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins (85) celebrates a touchdown reception in the second quarter of the NFL Week One game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Minnesota Vikings at Paul Brown Stadium in downtown Cincinnati on Sunday, Sept. 12, 2021. The Bengals led 14-7 at halftime. Minnesota Vikings At Cincinnati Bengals

The divisional-round weekend is here, and it's time to take advantage of some high-value player props.


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My picks went 2-0 last week. The Buffalo Bills put up one of the best offensive performances we’ve ever seen while their defense also played pretty well. This forced the New England Patriots to abandon the run, leaving Damien Harris well under 14.5 carries. Similarly, Nelson Agholor wasn’t a big part of the Patriots' offense, catching one pass from two targets for 18 yards, which left him comfortably under 27.5 receiving yards. Leonard Fournette stayed under 32.5 receiving yards because he was not activated off injured reserve. Since he wasn’t active for the game, I’m not counting it in my year-long win total.

This article's record now stands at 28-22 on the season

Leverage PFF's player props tool to find the most valuable bets to make during the wild-card round.

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WR Cole Beasley, Buffalo Bills: Under 30 receiving yards (-118)

Beasley was on the COVID-19 list for the Bills' Week 16 game, and his involvement on offense has declined ever since, as Gabriel Davis has emerged into a productive receiver in recent weeks while Emmanuel Sanders returned during wild-card weekend. This pushed Beasley down to fifth on the Bills' depth chart.

Bills wide receiver snaps and routes during Wild Card Weekend
Buffalo Bills Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Gabriel Davis 40 18 3 0
Stefon Diggs 35 23 4 0
Emmanuel Sanders 26 16 3 0
Isaiah McKenzie 19 12 3 3
Cole Beasley 17 8 1 0
Jake Kumerow 5 2 0 0
Total 56 29 24 26

He’s been held under 31 receiving yards in each of the last three weeks. He saw a season-low one target last week, which led to a 19-yard catch. He was held to just one catch two other times this season, including the Bills' Week 5 victory over the Kansas City Chiefs. The Bills will likely pass more this week than last week, but that should only lead to a two or three targets for Beasley, which likely won’t be enough to get him over 31.5 yards for the first time in over a month.

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