Betting News & Analysis

Thursday Night Football Staff Picks: Player props, spread bets and more

Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Chris Godwin (14) runs into the end zone for a touchdown in the first half against the New York Giants at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

Bet Bucs WR Chris Godwin o6.5 receptions (-114): Working from the slot on 68% of Tampa Bay's snaps this season, Godwin will draw Ravens slot corner Damarion Williams, who has a 37.3 PFF grade.

• Baltimore defense is ranked 21st in expected points added per pass; Godwin has 13-138 receiving from Weeks 6-7, when he commanded 25 combined targets.

Bet Bucs QB Tom Brady o24.5 completions (-127): He's over this number in five straight this season and 10 in a row at home dating back to 2021; Ravens opponents throwing about 5% more than expected this season.

Last updated: Oct. 27, 2:30 p.m.

Estimated reading time: 3 mins


Here are PFF staff best bets to kick off Week 8 with the Baltimore Ravens visiting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on “Thursday Night Football:”

Ben Brown: Bet Leonard Fournette — Under 13.5 yards longest reception (-125)

Bet gameplan: bet up to -125

• On 38 targets this season, Fournette's average depth of target (aDOT) is -1.4. He doesn't have a single target more than four yards past the line of scrimmage. The Ravens have the NFL's ninth-best coverage unit against running backs.

Tej Seth: Bet Bucs WR Chris Godwin — Over 6.5 receptions (-114)

Arjun Menon: Bet Bucs QB Tom Brady — Over 24.5 completions (-127)

Bet gameplan: Bet up to 25.5 completions

PFF staff best bets are 65-49 entering Week 8.

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