NFL Week 8 late-Sunday Staff Bets: Player props, spread bets and more

• Bet Titans RB Derrick Henry o11.5 receiving yards at Texans: Houston's cover 2 defense invites teams to throw underneath — where Henry will make us money.

• With Malik Willis in his NFL starting debut, expect Titans to prioritize screens on third downs. All it takes is one that's perfectly blocked for Henry.

• Bet Commanders +3 at Colts: Washington defense that's improved following a rough start should be able to put Sam Ehlinger under pressure in his first start.

Here are PFF's staff best bets in the late-afternoon Sunday window in Week 8:

Arjun Menon: Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry — Over 11.5 receiving yards (-110) @ Houston Texans

Bet Gameplan: Playable to 13.5

• Henry has been used in the passing game more and more each week, with at least 2 catches in his past 4 games. The Texans' cover 2 defense likes to invite teams to throw it underneath, which is where Henry should get his yards. With rookie QB Malik Willis making his starting debut, when the Titans get into third-and-long, look for them to throw screens instead of normal plays to give him easy yards to gain. All it takes is 1 well-blocked screen pass to Henry for this to cash.

Timo Riske: Washington Commanders +3 @ Indianapolis Colts

Bet Gameplan: Commanders +3 (or better), Commanders money line +125 (or better).

• Leverage uncertainty: It makes the angle in this game pretty simple. Sam Ehlinger could be a quarterback who is able to hold his own in an NFL game, but maybe he is not. Our default prior for a sixth-round pick is that he should be overwhelmed in his first start. Plus, a Washington defense that's improved following a rough start should be able to put Ehlinger under pressure. As long as the Commanders get at least a field goal, I like this bet because it’s hard to envision the Colts running away with this one.

Ben Brown: Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp — Over 7.5 receptions (-135) @ San Francisco 49ers

Bet Gameplan: Playable to -150. a plus-money pivot to 8.5 also worth some action.

• The Rams absolutely need this victory, and with the betting market moving in their direction because of 49ers injuries, we can buy into them through the prop market. Their offense goes as far as Kupp can take them, and with so much riding on this matchup, expect a number of manufactured targets early to Kupp on scripted plays. He should be able to continue to separate throughout the contest against a still-banged-up 49ers secondary. With him getting opportunities early and often, Kupp is worth paying the slightly elevated price on to once again go over this reception prop number.

PFF Greenline top play: Colts WR Parris Campbell — Under 2.5 receptions (+122) vs Commanders

Bet Gameplan: Playable to -130

• With the Colts expected to lean heavily into Sam Ehlinger‘s running ability in his NFL starting debut, PFF Greenline shows a game-high 18.3% edge on Campbell finishing with 2 or fewer catches — despite him attracting double-digit targets in each of his past two games with Matt Ryan.