NFL Week 10 Early-Sunday Staff Picks: Player props, spread bets and more

• Bet Bears QB Justin Fields 059.5 rush yards vs Lions: Fields has at least eight rushes in all but one game this season, and the Lions have allowed the fourth-most rush yards to quarterbacks.

• With the NFL's third-highest man-coverage rate, Detroit gives quarterbacks opportunities to run because Lions defenders have eyes on receivers, not in the backfield.

• Bet Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy anytime TD at Titans: Jeudy and Russell Wilson are starting to click, and passing opportunities abound in Nashville Sunday, when Titans will be without their best defenders in Jeffery Simmons.

Last updated: Nov. 13, 10:00 a.m.

Estimated reading time: 3 mins

Here are PFF staff best bets in the early-afternoon Sunday window in Week 10:

Arjun Menon: Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields — Over 59.5 rush yards (-115) vs Detroit Lions

Bet Gameplan: Playable to 62.5

• Fields has at least 8 rushes in all but one game this season, and the Bears increasingly have featured Fields as a runner since Week 4, when he's had an uptick in designed rushes. Now, Fields goes up against a Lions defense that has allowed 225 rushing yards this year to QBs (4th-most in NFL). What's more, the Lions have the NFL's third-highest man-coverage rate, forcing defenders to have their eyes on the receivers, not the QB, which should allow Fields to scramble even when he's dropping back, with few defenders in the area.

Richard Janvrin: Denver Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy — anytime TD (+280) @ Tennessee Titans

Bet Gameplan: Playable to +180

The Broncos still have plenty of work remaining in turning their season around, but they took a positive step forward across the pond in Week 8 before the bye. Wilson and Jeudy connected on a touchdown as part of Jeudy's six-reception, 63-yard day. Going up against the Titans on the road, the Broncos are 2.5-point underdogs. Whether their offense starts to click or they start to trail, this bodes well for Jeudy. Wilson is coming off one of his better passing days (74.4 grade), and Jeudy should see plenty of Titans safety Joshua Kalu out of the slot. Kalu has struggled in coverage this year (44.7 grade), playing minimal snaps (74) in the slot. With Courtland Sutton on the outside and TE Greg Dulcich also emerging as a receiving threat, Jeudy should have plenty of opportunities in this matchup.

Martyn Carlisle: Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa — Over 0.5 interceptions (-110) vs Cleveland Browns

Bet Gameplan: Playable to -120

Tua's decision making is not his greatest asset, and he's going to be under significantly more pressure vs the Browns thnn bottom-eight pass rushes like he's seen over the past three games. Over the first six weeks of the season, the Dolphins gave up a 34.1% pressure rate (4th worst), and I would expect to see something much more like that this week. Tua had turnover-worthy plays on 4.9% of dropbacks through the first three and a half games, but that dropped to 2.3% when he was given time against lesser pass rushes.

PFF Greenline top play: Pittsburgh Steelers RB Jaylen Warren — Under 1.5 receptions (-101) vs New Orleans Saints

Bet Gameplan: Playable to -115

The undrafted rookie is expected to play a larger role as the Steelers emerge from the bye, perhaps even supplanting former first-rounder Najee Harris, who's been ineffective this season. Still, against New Orleans' ace coverage LB duo of Demario Davis and Pete Werner, PFF Greenline finds a 16.6% edge — among the biggest in Week 10 — on Warren catching one or fewer passes Sunday.