News & Analysis

Premium Content Sign Up

Week 1 QB Review: Aaron Rodgers is back and Russell Wilson is cooking, but don't give up on Tom Brady

Every week throughout the 2020 season, we'll revisit the biggest storylines around the NFL's quarterback play and try to add proper context to PFF grading and traditional stats.

Before we start, here are a few disclaimers to aid in the understanding of the PFF system and its interaction with box score stats.

  • There's no doubt that quarterback play is the biggest driver of passing production, and most people are conditioned to have a picture of how well a quarterback played based on the five basic box score stats — completions, attempts, yards, touchdowns and interceptions.
  • The reality is that the best quarterbacks will rise to the top, or close to it, statistically over time, but in one-game samples or even full seasons, there are other forces at play that heavily influence those numbers.
  • The PFF grade is here to isolate the quarterback's play away from his playmakers, playcaller, opposing defense and anything else that could influence his statistics. We give credit for good throws regardless of the result, and we do the same for bad throws. The PFF passing grade has proven to be one of the most stable passing metrics available, and we believe adding proper context to every play is crucial for long-term player evaluation.

Week 1 is in the books, so here's a look at some of the top stories from the NFL's return.

[Editor's Note: PFF's advanced statistics and player grades are powered by AWS machine learning capabilities.]

Subscribe to

Five takeaways

1. Aaron Rodgers is back to form

It was a vintage effort from Aaron Rodgers against the Minnesota Vikings, as he earned a 96.0 overall grade and PFF Team of the Week honors.

Our own Mike Renner did a fine job explaining the importance of Rodgers playing within rhythm, and that should be the biggest takeaway from his Week 1 performance. Even as his stats and performance declined in recent years, Rodgers still had one of the league's best highlight reels, and he has been excellent at avoiding turnover-worthy plays.

However, Rodgers has declined on the stuff that looks easy at first glance but truly separates highlight-reel quarterbacks from the game's best. On Sunday, Rodgers played within structure, notched an incredible 84.6% accuracy percentage (per PFF's ball-location data), and perhaps most importantly, he didn't take a sack all afternoon. Oh, and Rodgers also tied for the league lead with his six big-time throws. Week 2 will be telling if the old Rodgers is truly back or if this was simply a one-off effort against an overhauled Vikings defense.

Subscribe to PFF Edge to continue reading

Already have a subscription? Sign In

NFL Featured Tools

  • PFF's exclusive metrics provide matchup previews, position rankings, grades, and snap counts.

    Available with

    Edge
  • Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data.

    Available with

    Elite
  • PFFELO Ratings are PFF’s NFL power rankings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

    Edge
  • 250+ three-page scouting profiles - advanced stats, 3-year grades, player comps, combine data and Senior Bowl grades - for the 2021 draft class.

    Available with

    Edge
Pro Subscriptions

Unlock NFL Player Grades, Fantasy & NFL Draft

$9.99 / mo
$39.99 / yr

Unlock Premium Stats, PFF Greenline & DFS

$34.99 / mo
$199.99 / yr