The Los Angeles Rams travel to Lumen Field to face the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday, Jan. 25, with kickoff set for 6:00 p.m. EST on FOX, in a third meeting between division rivals this season — and the winner advances to Super Bowl LX.
The teams split their regular-season series, with Seattle rallying for a dramatic 38-37 overtime win in December and Los Angeles taking the earlier matchup.
At the center of it is a fascinating quarterback contrast. Matthew Stafford has played at an elite level this season, earning a 91.6 PFF grade with a 7.0% big-time throw rate and strong efficiency both from clean pockets (116.9 passer rating) and under pressure (78.1). Sam Darnold has been steadier than spectacular for Seattle, posting a 79.9 PFF grade while limiting mistakes with a matching 3.3% turnover-worthy play rate.
Below, we break down the spread, moneyline and total using PFF's market data, compare the two starting quarterbacks through stable efficiency metrics and highlight the team-level advantages that could swing this game.
This preview also dives into notable injuries, trench mismatches and unit-level grades that matter most on Sunday, with all data powered by PFF Premium Stats and betting projections.
Click here to see PFF's data-backed bets for this game
Team Metrics
| Rams | Seahawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Power Rank: Overall | 2nd | 1st |
| Power Rank: Defense | 10th | 2nd |
| Power Rank: Offense | 1st | 13th |
| SOS Played | 21st | 19th |
| Avg Offensive Snaps | 69.0 | 63.3 |
| % Run Plays | 41.2% | 47.9% |
| % Pass Plays | 58.8% | 52.1% |
| EPA Per Run | 0.02 | -0.06 |
| EPA Per Pass | 0.20 | 0.08 |
QB Comparison
| Rams | Seahawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterback | M. Stafford | S. Darnold |
| PFF Grade | 91.6 | 79.9 |
| Passer Rating Clean | 116.9 | 110.6 |
| Passer Rating Under Pressure | 78.1 | 74.2 |
| Big-Time Throw % | 7.00% | 5.38% |
| Turnover-Worthy Play % | 3.30% | 3.30% |
| Power Rating | 5.0 | 3.5 |
| Power Rating Rank | 8th | 12th |
Key Injuries: Rams
| Player | Pos | Injury | Status | Grade | Pos WAR Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dolac | LB | Leg | IR | 88.5 | 86th |
| R. Havenstein | T | Leg | IR | 56.4 | 118th |
| A. Witherspoon | CB | Arm | IR | 53.7 | 169th |
| E. Forbes | CB | Arm | Q | 53.7 | 53rd |
Key Injuries: Seahawks
| Player | Pos | Injury | Status | Grade | Pos WAR Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Charbonnet | HB | Leg | OUT | 86.6 | 20th |
| S. Darnold | QB | Torso | Q | 79.9 | 7th |
| J. Jones | T | Leg | Q | 74.3 | 46th |
| C. Cross | T | Leg | Q | 74.1 | 23rd |
| T. Horton | WR | Leg | IR | 70.1 | 84th |
| J. Wright | HB | Other | OUT | 68.3 | 127th |
| C. White | WR | Groin | IR | 65.2 | 119th |
Betting insights: Spread
| Spread | Rams | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Market | +2.5 (-110) | -2.5 (-110) |
| PFF Projection | +2.6 | -2.6 |
| Implied Cover Probability | 48.9% | 51.1% |
Betting insights: Moneyline
| Moneyline | Rams | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Market | +129 | -154 |
| PFF Projection | +131 | -131 |
| Implied Win Probability | 43.3% | 56.7% |
Betting insights: Total
| Total | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Market | 47.5 (-110) | 47.5 (-110) |
| PFF Projection | 46.5 | 46.5 |
| Implied Cover Probability | 51.4% | 42.2% |
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