News & Analysis

PFF NFL Power Ratings & 2020 simulation results following Week 1

PFF's simulation engine powered by AWS simulates the NFL season from its current point 10,000 times. Each team is represented by its current power ratings that are built off of both PFF grading and conventional data. The results below are the average outcomes for each NFL team after Week 1.

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Team Division Avg Wins Playoff % Division Title % Make Super Bowl % Super Bowl Champ % Avg Wk of Next Loss Avg Draft Position
KC AFCW 11.5 94% 78% 30% 18% 4.0 27.5
BLT AFCN 11.2 93% 78% 24% 14% 3.9 26.9
NO NFCS 10.2 83% 67% 18% 9% 3.6 24.4
SEA NFCW 10.1 80% 46% 18% 9% 3.6 24.0
TEN AFCS 10.1 81% 64% 13% 7% 3.9 23.9
GB NFCN 9.7 75% 55% 14% 7% 3.5 22.8
NE AFCE 9.6 77% 60% 12% 6% 3.0 23.1
LA NFCW 8.8 59% 22% 8% 3% 3.2 20.0
SF NFCW 8.6 52% 17% 9% 4% 3.8 19.5
BUF AFCE 8.5 57% 32% 5% 2% 3.2 19.2
LV AFCW 8.4 48% 13% 4% 1% 2.7 17.8
TB NFCS 8.4 50% 21% 7% 3% 3.6 18.2
ARZ NFCW 8.3 49% 15% 5% 2% 3.3 17.7
CHI NFCN 8.3 47% 23% 4% 1% 3.3 17.3
DAL NFCE 8.2 53% 46% 6% 3% 3.1 17.7
PIT AFCN 8.2 45% 13% 3% 1% 3.1 16.8
IND AFCS 7.4 30% 13% 2% 1% 3.3 14.2
JAX AFCS 7.3 30% 12% 1% 0% 2.7 13.6
LAC AFCW 7.3 29% 5% 1% 0% 2.6 13.7
WAS NFCE 7.3 34% 26% 2% 1% 2.7 13.5
CLV AFCN 7.2 28% 5% 2% 1% 3.2 13.2
DET NFCN 7.2 25% 10% 2% 1% 2.7 13.3
MIN NFCN 7.2 26% 11% 2% 1% 2.9 13.7
HST AFCS 7 23% 11% 1% 1% 2.6 13.5
PHI NFCE 6.9 27% 20% 2% 1% 2.9 13.1
DEN AFCW 6.8 21% 4% 1% 0% 2.8 12.5
ATL NFCS 6.6 19% 8% 2% 1% 2.8 12.0
CIN AFCN 6.6 18% 4% 1% 0% 2.8 10.7
NYJ AFCE 5.9 12% 4% 0% 0% 2.6 9.1
MIA AFCE 5.8 11% 4% 0% 0% 2.6 8.8
NYG NFCE 5.7 12% 9% 0% 0% 2.6 8.3
CAR NFCS 5.6 10% 3% 0% 0% 2.6 8.3

 

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