2025 NFL Playoff, Super Bowl probabilities for all 32 teams

• The Denver Broncos are in pole position: Bo Nix and company win the Super Bowl in a league-best 17.0% of PFF simulations.

• Hanging in the balance: Week 18 matchups, Ravens–Steelers and Panthers–Buccaneers, will decide the final playoff spots.

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2025 NFL Playoff, Super Bowl probabilities

Team	Strength of schedule remaining	Projected win total	Chance to make playoffs (%)	Chance to win Super Bowl (%)
Denver Broncos	7	13.8	100.0	17.0
Seattle Seahawks	10	13.5	100.0	13.9
Los Angeles Rams	28	11.9	100.0	12.3
San Francisco 49ers	3	12.5	100.0	9.0
Buffalo Bills	32	11.9	100.0	8.7
Houston Texans	21	11.8	100.0	8.5
New England Patriots	23	13.8	100.0	7.4
Jacksonville Jaguars	31	12.9	100.0	6.3
Philadelphia Eagles	25	11.8	100.0	5.1
Baltimore Ravens	16	8.6	57.0	4.8
Chicago Bears	11	11.5	100.0	3.6
Pittsburgh Steelers	12	9.4	43.0	1.8
Green Bay Packers	15	9.9	100.0	0.9
Los Angeles Chargers	4	11.2	100.0	0.6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	24	7.6	24.0	0.3
Carolina Panthers	20	8.4	76.0	0.2
Detroit Lions	14	8.5	0.0	0.0
Minnesota Vikings	6	8.6	0.0	0.0
Cincinnati Bengals	29	6.8	0.0	0.0
Dallas Cowboys	27	8.1	0.0	0.0
Atlanta Falcons	26	7.6	0.0	0.0
Indianapolis Colts	5	8.2	0.0	0.0
New York Giants	18	3.4	0.0	0.0
New Orleans Saints	22	6.4	0.0	0.0
Miami Dolphins	13	7.2	0.0	0.0
Washington Commanders	9	4.2	0.0	0.0
Kansas City Chiefs	30	6.5	0.0	0.0
Cleveland Browns	19	4.2	0.0	0.0
Arizona Cardinals	1	3.1	0.0	0.0
Las Vegas Raiders	17	2.5	0.0	0.0
Tennessee Titans	8	3.1	0.0	0.0
New York Jets	2	3.1	0.0	0.0

Denver Broncos: 17% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

• The Denver Broncos are projected to win 13.8 games.
• The Broncos have a 100.0% chance to win their division.
• They are projected to go to the Super Bowl 30% of the time.

Seattle Seahawks: 14% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

• The Seattle Seahawks are projected to go to the Super Bowl 29% of the time.
• The Seahawks have a 13.9% chance to win the Super Bowl.
• They are projected to win 13.5 games.

Los Angeles Rams: 12% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

• The Los Angeles Rams have a 100.0% chance to make the playoffs.
• The Rams are the first-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
• They are projected to go to the Super Bowl 23% of the time.

San Francisco 49ers: 9% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

• The San Francisco 49ers have the third-hardest remaining schedule (SOS value: 3).
• The 49ers are projected to go to the Super Bowl 21% of the time.
• They have a 9.0% chance to win the Super Bowl.

Buffalo Bills: 9% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

• The Buffalo Bills have a 100.0% chance to make the playoffs.
• The Bills are the second-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
• They have a 8.7% chance to win the Super Bowl.

Houston Texans: 8% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

• The Houston Texans have a 100.0% chance to make the playoffs.
• The Texans are the fourth-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
• They have a 8.5% chance to win the Super Bowl.

New England Patriots: 7% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

• The New England Patriots are projected to win 13.8 games.
• The Patriots have a 100.0% chance to win their division.
• They are projected to go to the Super Bowl 15% of the time.

Jacksonville Jaguars: 6% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

• The Jacksonville Jaguars are projected to win 12.9 games.
• The Jaguars have a 89.5% chance to win their division.
• They have a 100.0% chance to make the playoffs.

Philadelphia Eagles: 5% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

• The Philadelphia Eagles have a 100.0% chance to win their division.
• The Eagles have played the fifth-hardest schedule to date (SOS value: 5).
• They are projected to win 11.8 games.

Baltimore Ravens: 5% to win Super Bowl & 57% to make playoffs

• The Baltimore Ravens are the sixth-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
• The Ravens have a 57.0% chance to win their division.
• They have a 4.8% chance to win the Super Bowl.

Chicago Bears: 4% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

• The Chicago Bears have a 100.0% chance to win their division.
• The Bears are projected to win 11.5 games.
• They have a 100.0% chance to make the playoffs.

Pittsburgh Steelers: 2% to win Super Bowl & 43% to make playoffs

• The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 43.0% chance to win their division.
• The Steelers have the 12th-hardest remaining schedule (SOS value: 12).
• They are projected to go to the Super Bowl 4% of the time.

Green Bay Packers: 1% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

• The Green Bay Packers have played the eighth-hardest schedule to date (SOS value: 8).
• The Packers have a 100.0% chance to make the playoffs.
• They are projected to win 9.9 games.

Los Angeles Chargers: 1% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

• The Los Angeles Chargers have the fourth-hardest remaining schedule (SOS value: 4).
• The Chargers are projected to win 11.2 games.
• They have a 100.0% chance to make the playoffs.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 0% to win Super Bowl & 24% to make playoffs

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 24.0% chance to win their division.
• The Buccaneers have a 0.3% chance to win the Super Bowl.
• They have a 24.0% chance to make the playoffs.

Carolina Panthers: 0% to win Super Bowl & 76% to make playoffs

• The Carolina Panthers have a 76.0% chance to win their division.
• The Panthers have a 76.0% chance to make the playoffs.
• They are projected to go to the Super Bowl 1% of the time.