- The Patriots need a Week 5 win: According to PFF simulations, the New England Patriots have a 60% chance of making the playoffs with a Week 5 win, but that number drops to 31% with a loss.
- Draft spots up for grabs: The New Orleans Saints currently have a 33% chance of landing the No. 1 overall pick.
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The current situation
Current AFC playoff standings
- Buffalo Bills (4-0)
- Los Angeles Chargers (3-1)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (3-1)
- Indianapolis Colts (3-1)
- Cincinnati Bengals (2-2)
- Kansas City Chiefs (2-2)
Current NFC playoff standings
- Philadelphia Eagles (4-0)
- San Francisco 49ers (3-1)
- Detroit Lions (3-1)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1)
- Los Angeles Rams (3-1)
- Seattle Seahawks (3-1)
- Green Bay Packers (2-1-1)
The projections
Naturally, it’s unlikely the playoff picture will remain constant over the remainder of the season. And that’s why it makes sense to look at the projected playoff picture — the estimated chances PFF gives each team to make the playoffs.
The following charts display the projected playoff chances for each team, along with the playoff leverage, i.e., how the playoff chances would change with a win or a loss.
The logos show the current playoff chances. The points to the right of the logos indicate the chances after a win, and the points to the left indicate the chances after a loss.
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