- A huge week for the New England Patriots: According to PFF simulations, the Patriots have an 84% chance of making the playoffs with a Week 8 win, but that number drops to 58% with a loss.
- With the first overall pick, the New York Jets select: The Jets have a 37% of picking first overall in 2026, according to PFF simulations.
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The current situation
Current AFC playoff standings
- Indianapolis Colts (6-1)
- Denver Broncos (5-2)
- New England Patriots (5-2)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2)
- Buffalo Bills (4-2)
- Los Angeles Chargers (4-3)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (4-3)
Current NFC playoff standings
- Green Bay Packers (4-1-1)
- San Francisco 49ers (5-2)
- Philadelphia Eagles (5-2)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-2)
- Detroit Lions (5-2)
- Seattle Seahawks (5-2)
- Los Angeles Rams (5-2)
The projections
Naturally, it’s unlikely the playoff picture will remain constant over the remainder of the season. And that’s why it makes sense to look at the projected playoff picture — the estimated chances PFF gives each team to make the playoffs.
The following charts display the projected playoff chances for each team, along with the playoff leverage, i.e., how the playoff chances would change with a win or a loss.
The logos show the current playoff chances. The points to the right of the logos indicate the chances after a win, and the points to the left indicate the chances after a loss.
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