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NFL playoff picture ahead of Week 7

  • A huge week for the Atlanta Falcons: According to PFF simulations, the Falcons have a 71% chance of making the playoffs with a Week 7 win, but that number drops to 41% with a loss.
  • Draft spots up for grabs: The New York Jets currently have a 76% chance of landing the No. 1 overall pick.

The current situation

Current AFC playoff standings
  1. Indianapolis Colts (5-1)
  2. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-1)
  3. Los Angeles Chargers (4-2)
  4. New England Patriots (4-2)
  5. Buffalo Bills (4-2)
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2)
  7. Denver Broncos (4-2)
Current NFC playoff standings
  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-1)
  2. Green Bay Packers (3-1-1)
  3. San Francisco 49ers (4-2)
  4. Philadelphia Eagles (4-2)
  5. Seattle Seahawks (4-2)
  6. Detroit Lions (4-2)
  7. Los Angeles Rams (4-2)

The projections

Naturally, it’s unlikely the playoff picture will remain constant over the remainder of the season. And that’s why it makes sense to look at the projected playoff picture — the estimated chances PFF gives each team to make the playoffs.

The following charts display the projected playoff chances for each team, along with the playoff leverage, i.e., how the playoff chances would change with a win or a loss.

The logos show the current playoff chances. The points to the right of the logos indicate the chances after a win, and the points to the left indicate the chances after a loss.

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