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Jahnke: Best 2022 Week 1 player props bets

Houston, Texas, US; Houston Texans running back Dameon Pierce (31) runs the ball during training camp at the Texans practice facility. Mandatory Credit: Maria Lysaker-USA TODAY Sports

Bet on Texans rookie RB: Houston Texans rookie RB sensation Dameon Pierce is facing a strong Indianapolis Colts defense but should still be able to best his 10.5 receiving yard prop. 

Smash the over on Adams' reception prop: PFF's player props tool finds value in Las Vegas Raiders WR Davante Adams going over his 6.5-reception prop due to Los Angeles Chargers star CB J.C. Jackson‘s absence. 

• Fade St. Brown's receiving yardage prop: Detroit Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown has a below-average matchup, per PFF's WR/CB matchup chart; therefore, it's wise to bet the under on his 58.5 receiving yard prop.

• 2021 record: 32-27. 

Estimated reading time: 2 minutes

RB Dameon Pierce, Houston Texans: Over 10.5 receiving yards (-118)

  • Pierce won the starting job throughout training camp, allowing the team to move on from Marlon Mack.
  • He will likely play on first and second downs, while Rex Burkhead should play on third downs and two-minute drills.
  • Pierce achieved an 84.8 receiving grade in college last season, so he’s capable of catching passes even without the receiving back role.
  • The Texans running backs recorded 11 or more receiving yards in 11 of 17 games last year on first and second downs outside of the two-minute drill, including both games against the Indianapolis Colts.
  • The Colts' defense allowed 11 or more receiving yards to running backs in 14 of 17 games last year on first and second downs outside of the two-minute drill.
  • Both teams are very healthy heading into Week 1, so injuries are unlikely to play a factor in this game.

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