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Best DFS stacks & blowup targets to target in Week 14 of the 2021 NFL season

Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle (85) celebrates after catching a touchdown against the Los Angeles Rams in the first quarter at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

DFS success boils down to finding the highest-scoring fantasy football players at each position in a given week. With close to 20 playable options at the quarterback and tight end positions, along with even more at the running back and wide receiver positions, it is a feat in itself to identify one position correctly.

To finish at the top of a DFS contest, you must hit on basically all skill positions and circumvent the randomness associated with selecting defenses. Doing all of this while also fitting under the confines of a salary cap makes DFS one of the most difficult setups to beat consistently, especially for large-field tournaments.

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SALARY-ADJUSTED FANTASY PERFORMANCE

One of the best ways to find value opportunities on a given slate is to start with the salary-adjusted expectation for all players. Because DraftKings has been around for over six years, we now have a worthwhile dataset of player salaries and their resulting fantasy performances. By figuring out the expectation based on each player’s salary and position, we can compare their salary-expected fantasy performance to PFF’s fantasy projections. Doing this highlights the best value plays based on salary.

Player Position Team DK Salary Salary Expectation Proj. Fantasy Pts Proj. Above Salary Expectation
Jamaal Williams HB DET 5500 11.80 17.30 5.50
Brandin Cooks WR HST 5700 12.34 17.50 5.16
Jared Cook TE LAC 3200 5.14 9.69 4.55
Tyler Johnson WR TB 3200 4.46 8.91 4.45
Josh Jacobs HB LV 6200 14.00 17.82 3.82
Nico Collins WR HST 3000 3.83 7.65 3.82
D.J. Moore WR CAR 6200 13.92 17.66 3.74
Marvin Jones Jr. WR JAX 4500 8.56 12.28 3.72
Hayden Hurst TE ATL 2500 2.94 6.58 3.64
Trent Sherfield WR SF 3000 3.83 7.11 3.28
Mike Williams WR LAC 6000 13.29 16.37 3.08
D.K. Metcalf WR SEA 6500 14.86 17.88 3.02
Laviska Shenault Jr. WR JAX 4300 7.93 10.89 2.96
Josh Reynolds WR DET 4100 7.30 10.25 2.95

PASS-CATCHING BLOWUP MODEL

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